FNUS72 KJAX 030848
FWSJAX

SPOT FORECAST FOR SCHOOL BURN...DOF
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
348 AM EST WED FEB 3 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 EST ON FEBRUARY 03.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD NORTH OF THE REGION
TODAY. COOL AND DRY NORTH TO NORTHEAST FLOW WILL FOCUS THE DRIEST
CONDITIONS WEST OF THE BURN SITE. INCREASING HIGH CLOUDS ARE
EXPECTED WHICH WILL FURTHER LIMIT RH DROP THIS AFTERNOON. MOISTURE
WILL INCREASE OVER THE AREA TONIGHT AND THURSDAY AS WINDS BECOME
MORE EASTERLY. BREEZY CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE THURSDAY WITH EAST
TO NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 15 MPH.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (65-75 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 65.
MIN HUMIDITY........42 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH BECOMING
                    NORTHEAST WINDS 10 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......800-2000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3100 FT
                    AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHEAST 15 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....45.
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.

TIME (EST)      11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
SKY (%).........30     45     35     25
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............56     61     62     60
RH..............52     44     45     52
20 FT WIND......NW 9   NE 10  NE 8   NE 6
20 FT WIND GUST.15     15     15     15
MIX HGT (FT)....2000   3100   3100   3100
TRANSPORT WIND..N 15   NE 14  NE 14  NE 13
CHC OF PCPN (%).0      0      0      0

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 45.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING LIGHT...THEN BECOMING NORTHEAST AROUND
                    5 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3100 FT AGL DECREASING TO 400-1000 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHEAST 6 TO 13 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....4.

TIME (EST)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........18     26     38     38     50     62
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............57     52     49     48     46     45
RH..............60     74     81     86     91     96
20 FT WIND......NE 5   NE 3   NE 3   NE 5   NE 5   NE 6
20 FT WIND GUST.10     10     10            10     10
MIX HGT (FT)....3100   1000   700    700    400    600
TRANSPORT WIND..NE 13  E 10   NE 7   NE 7   NE 6   NE 12

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 64.
MIN HUMIDITY........69 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 5 TO 14 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......600-2200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3600 FT AGL IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........EAST 12 TO 21 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....52.

$$
FORECASTER...DEESE
REQUESTED BY...COULLIETTE
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20100203.SCHOO.04/JAX