FNUS72 KJAX 040840
FWSJAX

SPOT FORECAST FOR SCHOOL BURN 2...DOF
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
340 AM EST THU FEB 4 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 EST ON FEBRUARY 04.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO BUILD WELL NORTH OF THE
AREA TODAY...RESULTING IN EAST TO NORTHEAST WINDS ACROSS
THE AREA. THIS ONSHORE FLOW WILL KEEP MIN RH'S WELL ABOVE CRITICAL
VALUES.  A STORM SYSTEM WILL BRING RAINFALL AND BREEZY
CONDITIONS TO THE AREA FRI. THE RAIN WILL CLEAR OUT SAT BUT BREEZY
CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE. ANOTHER AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD WELL
NORTH OF THE AREA SUN BRINGING DRIER AIR AND LIGHTER WINDS. MIN RH'S
ON SUN ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN JUST ABOVE CRITICAL LEVELS.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 62.
MIN HUMIDITY........70 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......700-2200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3600 FT AGL IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........EAST 14 TO 21 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....41.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.

TIME (EST)      10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........96     96     98     97
WEATHER COV.....              S CHC  S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR
TEMP............51     57     61     61
RH..............94     80     75     75
20 FT WIND......NE 13  NE 15  NE 15  E 13
20 FT WIND GUST.15     20     20     15
MIX HGT (FT)....2200   2200   3600   3600
TRANSPORT WIND..NE 20  NE 20  E 21   E 17
CHC OF PCPN (%).10     10     20     20

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 54.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 13 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3600 FT AGL DECREASING TO 400-1000 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST 8 TO 17 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....5.

TIME (EST)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........97     95     95     95     94     89
WEATHER COV.....S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TEMP............59     58     57     56     56     55
RH..............81     88     93     98     100    100
20 FT WIND......E 9    E 8    E 7    NE 6   E 6    E 7
20 FT WIND GUST.15     15     10     10     10     15
MIX HGT (FT)....3600   1000   700    700    400    700
TRANSPORT WIND..E 17   E 14   SE 9   SE 9   SE 8   SE 13

.FRIDAY...

MIXING HEIGHT.......700-2000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3000 FT AGL IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 13 TO 22 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 21
                    TO 23 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....62.

$$
FORECASTER...DEESE
REQUESTED BY...BARRY COULLIETTE
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20100204.SCHOO.01/JAX