FNUS76 KMTR 050145
FWSMTR

SPOT FORECAST FOR MCNEAR PILE BURN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MONTEREY CA
545 PM PST THU FEB 4 2010

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

...UNSETTLED WEATHER CONTINUING INTO SATURDAY MORNING...

DISCUSSION...UNSETTLED WEATHER THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING FOR THE BURN
AREA AS A COLD-FRONTAL PASSAGE THURSDAY EVENING IS FOLLOWED BY
ANOTHER FRONTAL PASSAGE SATURDAY MORNING. WETTING RAIN OCCURING THIS
EVENING WITH WETTING RAIN AGAIN LIKELY SATURDAY MORNING. THURSDAY
EVENING PRE-FRONT WINDS GUSTY BUT EXPECTED TO DIMINISH TO LIGHT
AROUND BURN TIME FRIDAY MORNING AND GENERALLY VARIABLE. WINDS
EXPECTED TO ARISE AGAIN FROM THE SOUTH AND SOUTHEAST FRIDAY AFTERNOON
AHEAD OF THE SATURDAY MORNING FRONT. RAIN AMOUNTS ON SATURDAY MORNING
EXPECTED TO BE 1/4 TO 1/2 INCH TOTAL AROUND THE BURN AREA FOLLOWING
THE THURSDAY EVENING/ FRIDAY MORNING FRONTAL PASSAGE.

FOR PLANNED IGNITION TIME OF 930 PST FRIDAY 2/5/10
SKY/WEATHER............MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH LINGERING LIGHT RAIN
                       SHOWERS.
                    TEMPERATURE............47-49 AT IGNITION...HIGH 53-57
                    HUMIDITY........82-87 PCT AT BURN TIME...MIN 65-70 PCT
WIND (EYE LEVEL)....LIGHT AT LESS THAN 5 MPH IN THE MORNING
                       FAVORING NORTHEAST IN POST-FRONTAL CONDITIONS.
                       WINDS SWITCHING TO AND INCREASING TO SOUTHERLY
                       AT 7-10 MPH AFTER 3 PM
                       IN THE AFTERNOON.
WIND (20 FT).........NORTHEAST 4-8 MPH AROUND BURN TIME. TURNING
                       TO SOUTHEAST 4-8 MPH BY 1 PM AND INCREASING
                       UP TO 12 MPH BY 4 PM.
CWR....................40 PCT
MARINE LAYER........NONE

FOR FRIDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER............CLOUDY WITH RAIN BECOMING LIKELY.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....43-47
                    HUMIDITY........90-95 PCT WITH MAXIMUM 95-100 PCT AT DAWN
WIND (EYE LEVEL)....SOUTH 7-10 MPH
WIND (20 FT).........SOUTH 10-15 MPH
CWR....................INCREASING TO 70 PCT
MARINE LAYER........NONE

OUTLOOK FOR SATURDAY
SKY/WEATHER............RAIN IN THE MORNING TURNING TO SHOWERS MID-
                       AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....53-57
MIN HUMIDITY........77-82 PCT
WIND (EYE LEVEL)....SOUTH 6-9 MPH...THEN NORTHWEST 4-8 MPH VERY
                       LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
WIND (20 FT).........INITIALLY SOUTH AT 10-15 MPH...TURNING WEST
                       7-12 MPH MID-AFTERNOON...AND THEN NORTHWEST
                       5-8 MPH BY EVENING.
CWR....................80 PCT IN THE MORNING
MARINE LAYER........NONE

FORECASTER...DAN GUDGEL

$$

REQUESTED BY...TIM WALSH
REASON FOR REQUEST...ESSENTIAL TO PUBLIC SAFETY, E.G. DUE TO THE PROXIMITY OF
POPULATION CENTERS OR CRITICAL INFRASTRUCTURE.