FNUS72 KMLB 051058
FWSMLB

SPOT FORECAST FOR ASTOR...USDA FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
558 AM EST FRI FEB 5 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0930 EST ON FEBRUARY 05.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...SOUTHEAST WINDS WILL BECOME MORE SOUTHERLY AND
QUICKLY STRENGTHEN TO AROUND 20 MPH BY LATE MORNING AHEAD OF A
DEEPENING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM AND COLD FRONT OVER THE EASTERN GULF
OF MEXICO. THESE STRONG AND GUSTY WINDS WILL LEAD TO HIGH
DISPERSION VALUES AND COULD CAUSE CONTROL PROBLEMS WITH ANY
INITIATED FIRES. THE COLD FRONT WILL MOVE EAST TOWARD THE AREA AND
WILL BE PRECEDED BY A LINE OF SHOWERS AND STORMS THAT WILL APPROACH
THE BURN SITE BY LATE THIS AFTERNOON. STRONGER CONVECTION ALONG
THIS BAND WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE STRONG TO DAMAGING
WIND GUSTS AS IT MOVES THROUGH. RAIN CHANCES WILL END LATER THIS
EVENING AS FRONT PUSHES SOUTH OF THE AREA AND WINDS VEER TO THE
WEST.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS EARLY
                    IN THE AFTERNOON THEN SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT
                    CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 77.
MIN HUMIDITY........64 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 8 TO 16 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    SOUTHWEST 16 TO 20 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND
                    AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1600...THEN 2.
MIXING HEIGHT.......800-2400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2800 FT AGL IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 21 TO 26 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....61.
LVORI...............0.

TIME (EST)      9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM 8PM
SKY (%).........PC  PC  PC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  CDY CDY CDY
WEATHER COV.....        SCH SCH SCH SCH LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY SCH
WEATHER TYPE....        RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
TEMP............70  72  75  77  77  77  76  75  73  70  68  66
RH..............84  81  76  70  66  65  66  71  76  78  84  84
20 FT WIND DIR..S   S   S   S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  W
20 FT WIND SPD..16  18  20  20  20  20  17  16  16  15  15  14
20 FT WIND GUST.25  30  30  30  30  30  25  25  25  20  20  20

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT
                    CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 54.
MAX HUMIDITY........87 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT.
LAL.................2 UNTIL 2400...THEN 1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000-2800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 15 TO 23 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....15.
LVORI...............4.

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CONSIDERABLE CLOUDINESS THEN BECOMING PARTLY
                    SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 64.
MIN HUMIDITY........46 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 13 TO 20 MPH.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000-2900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3000-3300 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 15 TO 24 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 28 MPH
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....69.
LVORI...............0.

$$
FORECASTER...WEITLICH
REQUESTED BY...TAMMY MILTON
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20100205.ASTOR.01/MLB