FNUS74 KMOB 071132 FWSMOB SPOT FORECAST FOR ESCAMBIA 1...U.S. FOREST SERVICE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL 532 AM CST SUN FEB 7 2010 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0930 CST ON FEBRUARY 07. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...OVERCAST CONDITIONS SHOULD BEGIN TO BREAK UP BY MID MORNING WITH PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES BY AFTERNOON...THERE IS A POSSIBILITY THAT THE CLOUDS WILL LINGER TILL NOON. 20 FOOT WINDS WILL REMAIN NORTHERLY AT 5 TO 10 MPH THROUGH THE MORNING AND DIMINISH TO LESS THAN 5 MPH BY AFTERNOON. .TODAY... TIME (CST) 9 AM 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM SKY (%).........44 44 32 20 20 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............39 46 50 52 48 RH..............75 49 43 40 51 20 FT WIND DIR..N N N N N 20 FT WIND SPD..8 7 5 5 4 MIX HGT (FT)....1500 2400 2800 2800 2100 TRANSP WIND DIR.N N N N N TRANSP WIND SPD.14 13 9 9 8 DISPERSION......27 35 32 32 21 LVORI...........2 1 1 1 2 CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 .TONIGHT... TIME (CST) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........5 5 0 5 5 15 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............43 39 36 34 33 31 RH..............63 77 85 83 82 83 20 FT WIND DIR..N N N NE NE NE 20 FT WIND SPD..4 4 4 3 5 5 MIX HGT (FT)....1700 1200 600 100 100 100 TRANSP WIND DIR.N N NE NE NE NE TRANSP WIND SPD.8 8 8 7 9 10 DISPERSION......18 4 4 3 4 5 LVORI...........2 4 5 5 4 5 CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 .MONDAY... TIME (CST) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........21 21 21 55 55 55 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............29 35 47 56 60 60 RH..............93 97 67 50 45 49 20 FT WIND DIR..E E SE SE SE SE 20 FT WIND SPD..5 5 6 7 8 7 MIX HGT (FT)....100 1100 2000 3000 3000 2600 TRANSP WIND DIR.E E SE S SE SE TRANSP WIND SPD.9 10 12 13 16 17 DISPERSION......4 15 30 30 39 38 LVORI...........6 5 3 1 1 1 CWR.............10 10 10 10 10 10 && AS A MATTER OF COURSE WE DO NOT FORECAST EYE-LEVEL WINDS. REASON BEING IS THE EYE-LEVEL WIND OR THE APPROXIMATE MIDFLAME WIND SPEED IS HIGHLY DEPENDENT OF THE FUEL MODEL USED AND OTHER VARIABLE SUCH AS PARTIALLY OR FULLY SHELTERED...SHADE TOLERANT OR INTOLERANT FOR FULLY SHELTERED AND WHETHER ITS SPARSE OR DENSE. ALSO DIFFERENT ADJUSTMENT FACTORS FOR EXPOSED FUELS. OUR COMPUTER PROGRAM THAT RUNS THE SPOT IS NOT THAT SOPHISTICATED...HOWEVER BASED ON THE FUEL MODEL AND EXPOSURE FROM YOUR SPOT REQUEST...THE ADJUSTMENT FACTOR IS .25 OF THE 20 FOOT WIND. $$ FORECASTER...DF REQUESTED BY...JASON MONROE TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20100207.ESCAM.01/MOB