FNUS75 KBOU 081616 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR SUGARLOAF 54C...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 910 AM MST MON FEB 8 2010 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...AN UPPER LEVEL LOW OVER THE NORTHERN GREAT PLAINS WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE EAST WITH A NORTH TO NORTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT OVER THE REGION. THE UPSLOPE THAT IS PRODUCING THE SNOWFALL THIS MORNING IS EXPECTED TO DECREASE THIS AFTERNOON. THE SNOWFALL WILL SUBSIDE AT THAT TIME AS WELL. FOR TONIGHT AND TUESDAY AS A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE MOVE IN FROM THE WEST. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. SNOW LIKELY UNTIL 1100...THEN CHANCE OF SNOW. ADDITIONAL SNOW ACCUMULATION UP TO ONE INCH. MAX TEMPERATURE.....20-22. MIN HUMIDITY........80-84%. WIND (20 FT)........EAST/SOUTHEAST 4-10 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 4-12 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......2400-3400 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR. HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY UNTIL 2400...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY(40-50%). MIN TEMPERATURE.....5-8. MAX HUMIDITY........90-95%. WIND (20 FT)........EAST AROUND 5 MPH UNTIL 2400...THEN WEST 5-10 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 8-16 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1600-2600 FT AGL UNTIL 0100...THEN 400-1000 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(40-50%). MAX TEMPERATURE.....23-26. MIN HUMIDITY........59-65%. WIND (20 FT)........WEST 6-12 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 12-20 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......2000-3000 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1300. FAIR AFTER 1400. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 13. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S. WEST WINDS AROUND 14 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 30 MPH. .THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 16. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 19. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. EXPERIMENTAL FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR SUGARLOAF 54C. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE DIGITAL DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY NOT AGREE WITH INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. INFORMATION CONTAINED IN THIS TABLE SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AN OFFICIAL FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP TF RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 02/08-09 100 70 15 93 E 7 1 2387 W 5 10976 P 02/08-10 100 70 17 88 E 8 1 2875 W 7 19420 P 02/08-11 92 44 19 85 E 8 8 2 1 N32 3363 NW 9 27864 P 02/08-12 92 44 19 85 E 7 1 3395 NW 10 32302 P 02/08-13 92 44 20 85 E 5 1 3427 NW 13 36740 P 02/08-14 92 44 20 85 E 3 3 2 1 NW36 3459 NW 14 41178 F 02/08-15 92 44 19 85 E 3 1 3262 NW 13 37203 P 02/08-16 92 44 19 84 E 3 1 3065 NW 13 33228 P 02/08-17 63 0 17 84 E 3 3 2 1 N39 2868 NW 12 29254 P 02/08-18 63 0 16 85 E 2 1 2570 NW 10 24543 P 02/08-19 63 0 14 88 E 2 1 2273 W 10 19833 P 02/08-20 63 0 13 92 CALM 1 2 1 N38 1975 W 9 15123 P 02/08-21 63 0 11 95 CALM 1 1837 W 9 14116 P 02/08-22 63 0 10 98 CALM 1 1698 W 9 13109 P 02/08-23 46 0 9 99 SE 2 2 3 1 N37 1559 W 9 12101 P 02/09-00 46 0 9 97 S 2 1 1319 W 10 11064 P 02/09-01 46 0 8 93 SW 3 1 1079 W 12 10028 P 02/09-02 46 0 8 88 W 5 5 3 1 N33 838 W 13 8991 P 02/09-03 46 0 7 83 W 6 1 696 W 13 7496 P 02/09-04 46 0 7 77 W 8 1 554 W 13 6001 P 02/09-05 56 0 7 71 W 10 10 4 1 NW28 412 W 13 4506 P 02/09-06 56 0 7 78 W 10 1 465 W 13 5010 P 02/09-07 56 0 8 81 W 10 1 540 W 13 5775 P 02/09-08 56 0 10 78 W 9 9 4 1 NW22 615 W 13 6539 P 02/09-09 56 0 14 73 W 7 1 1069 W 13 12567 P 02/09-10 56 0 16 71 W 5 1 1524 W 14 18595 P 02/09-11 35 0 19 71 W 2 2 4 1 NW16 1979 W 14 24623 P 02/09-12 35 0 21 68 W 2 1 2467 W 16 37362 P 02/09-13 35 0 23 66 W 2 1 2955 W 18 50101 F 02/09-14 35 0 24 64 W 3 3 4 1 W14 3443 W 21 62840 G 02/09-15 35 0 23 64 W 3 1 3069 W 22 58084 F 02/09-16 35 0 22 64 W 5 1 2696 W 23 53328 F 02/09-17 59 0 21 64 W 6 6 3 1 W16 2322 W 24 48572 F 02/09-18 59 0 20 62 W 8 1 1982 W 23 40373 F 02/09-19 59 0 18 60 W 9 1 1643 W 22 32173 P 02/09-20 59 0 17 59 W 12 12 3 1 W21 1303 W 21 23973 P 02/09-21 59 0 16 59 W 13 1 1127 W 22 20996 P 02/09-22 59 0 15 59 W 13 1 952 W 22 18019 P 02/09-23 59 0 15 60 W 14 22 3 1 W20 776 W 22 15042 P 02/10-00 59 0 14 61 W 15 1 735 W 23 14768 P 02/10-01 59 0 14 62 W 15 1 695 W 24 14494 P 02/10-02 59 0 13 63 W 16 25 3 1 W17 654 W 25 14220 P 02/10-03 59 0 13 62 W 17 1 693 W 26 15785 P 02/10-04 59 0 13 62 W 18 1 733 W 28 17349 P 02/10-05 69 0 13 62 W 18 30 3 1 W17 772 W 28 18913 P 02/10-06 69 0 13 65 W 18 1 908 W 28 21343 P 02/10-07 69 0 14 67 W 17 1 1044 W 26 23772 P 02/10-08 69 0 15 66 W 16 25 3 1 W18 1180 W 25 26201 P 02/10-09 69 0 17 66 W 15 1 1705 W 25 37650 P 02/10-10 69 0 19 65 W 14 1 2229 W 25 49100 F 02/10-11 69 0 21 62 W 13 13 3 1 W22 2754 W 25 60549 G 02/10-12 69 0 22 55 W 12 1 3366 W 25 72752 G 02/10-13 69 0 23 48 W 12 1 3978 W 24 84956 G 02/10-14 69 0 23 43 W 12 12 2 1 W29 4590 W 24 97160 G 02/10-15 69 0 23 42 W 12 1 4121 W 25 88810 G 02/10-16 69 0 22 44 W 12 1 3651 W 25 80461 G 02/10-17 55 0 21 48 W 12 12 2 1 W31 3181 W 26 72112 G 02/10-18 55 0 20 52 W 12 1 2437 W 23 52615 F 02/10-19 55 0 19 58 W 13 1 1692 W 20 33118 P 02/10-20 55 0 19 65 W 13 13 2 1 W29 947 W 16 13621 P 02/10-21 55 0 18 72 W 13 1 815 W 15 11190 P 02/10-22 55 0 17 79 W 13 1 683 W 14 8760 P 02/10-23 55 0 17 85 W 13 13 2 1 W26 551 W 13 6330 P 02/11-00 55 0 16 88 W 13 1 513 W 13 5869 P 02/11-01 55 0 16 90 W 14 1 476 W 13 5409 P 02/11-02 55 0 16 90 W 14 22 2 1 NW23 438 W 13 4948 P 02/11-03 55 0 15 90 W 14 1 425 W 13 4732 P 02/11-04 55 0 15 88 W 14 1 413 W 13 4516 P 02/11-05 59 0 15 85 W 13 13 2 1 NW18 400 W 13 4300 P KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION /PERCENT/ TF - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E - EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...WFO BOULDER REQUESTED BY...BILL ALAKAI REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20100208.SUGAR.01/BOU