FNUS72 KJAX 081240
FWSJAX

SPOT FORECAST FOR BAKER BAY...USDA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
740 AM EST MON FEB 8 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0930 EST ON FEBRUARY 08.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD NORTH OF THE REGION TODAY WITH
A LIGHT NORTHEAST TO EAST FLOW GRADUALLY INCREASING MOISTURE ACROSS
THE LOCAL AREA. A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH THE AREA ON TUESDAY AND
BRING A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. AFTERNOON RELATIVE HUMIDITIES MAY APPROACH
CRITICAL VALUES FOR A BRIEF DURATION WELL INLAND THIS AFTERNOON...
OTHERWISE HUMIDITIES WILL REMAIN ABOVE RED FLAG CRITERIA THROUGH
TUESDAY. WINDS WILL GENERALLY REMAIN BELOW 15 MPH UNTIL THE FRONT
PASSES TUESDAY NIGHT. RED FLAG CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE ON WEDNESDAY
AND THURSDAY AS MUCH DRIER AIR FILTERS INTO THE AREA.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT). WIDESPREAD FROST EARLY
                    IN THE MORNING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 63.
MIN HUMIDITY........37 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING EAST 5 TO 7 MPH BY AFTERNOON.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500-2200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2700-3500 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........EAST 5 TO 10 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....41.

TIME (EST)      9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
SKY (%).........13     13     18     25     25
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............48     58     62     62     60
RH..............64     47     39     42     56
20 FT WIND......E 5    E 6    E 7    E 7    E 7
20 FT WIND GUST.10     10     10     10     10
MIX HGT (FT)....2200   2200   3500   3500   2700
TRANSPORT WIND..E 8    E 8    E 9    E 10   E 10
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 40.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING
                    LIGHT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1100-2700 FT AGL DECREASING TO 200-600 FT AGL
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST 8 TO 10 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....4.

TIME (EST)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........25     32     38     38     52     58
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............56     48     44     42     41     42
RH..............56     76     93     100    100    100
20 FT WIND......E 7    E 6    E 5    E 2    E 1    SE 0
20 FT WIND GUST.10     10            5      5      5
MIX HGT (FT)....2700   1900   1100   1100   200    600
TRANSPORT WIND..E 10   E 9    E 9    E 9    SE 8   SE 8
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (65-75 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT) IN THE AFTERNOON WITH
                    A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 64.
MIN HUMIDITY........64 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH BY
                    AFTERNOON.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......600-1700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2300-2600 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 8 TO 16 MPH INCREASING TO 18 TO 23 MPH IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....55.

$$
FORECASTER...ENYEDI
REQUESTED BY...PETE MYERS
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20100208.BAKER.01/JAX