FNUS72 KMFL 081449
FWSMFL

SPOT FORECAST FOR LIL DEER
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
949 AM EST MON FEB 8 2010

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

SPOT FORECAST FOR LIL DEER...NPS BIG CYPRESS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
948 AM EST MON FEB 8 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0950 EST ON FEBRUARY 08.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A BROAD RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE AT THE SURFACE WILL
BE THE DOMINANT WEATHER FEATURE ACROSS SOUTH FLORIDA TODAY AND
TONIGHT...PROVIDING DRY WEATHER AND MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES IN THE
VICINITY OF THE PRESCRIBED BURN SITE THIS AFTERNOON. BOTH
TRANSPORT LAYER AND 20 FOOT WINDS WILL INITIALLY BE EASTERLY
AROUND 5 MPH...WITH WINDS SLOWLY SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST BY
TONIGHT. DUE TO THE LIGHT NATURE OF THE WIND...SMOKE DISPERSION IS
EXPECTED TO BE POOR THIS AFTERNOON. LIGHT WINDS AND MOSTLY CLEAR
SKIES WILL PROMOTE THE DEVELOPMENT OF AT LEAST PATCHY FOG NEAR THE
BURN SITE LATE TONIGHT. OTHERWISE...EXPECT RAIN CHANCES TO
GRADUALLY INCREASE LATE ON TUESDAY...AS A COLD FRONT APPROACHES
THE REGION. THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
ON TUESDAY AFTERNOON...WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS FROM TUESDAY NIGHT
THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT).
                    TEMPERATURE.........55 AT IGNITION...MAX 72.
                    MIN HUMIDITY........80 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 41 PERCENT.
DEWPOINT............49.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS NORTHEAST AT 4 MPH AT
                    IGNITION...OTHERWISE LIGHT WINDS.
WIND (EYE LEVEL)....LIGHT WINDS.
POP (12 HR).................10 PERCENT.
POP (12 HR).................10 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2200 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 1300-3000
                    FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST 5 TO 7 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....17.
LVORI...............4.

TIME (EST)      9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM   7 PM
SKY (%).........15     15     15     15     15     25
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
12 HR CHC PCPN. 10     10     10     10     10     10
 6 HR CHC PCPN. 10     10     10     10     10     10
TEMP............55     66     71     72     69     62
RH..............80     54     42     43     58     68
20 FT WIND......NE 3   NE 2   E 2    E 2    E 2    SE 2
20 FT WIND GUST.5      5      5      5      5      5
EYE LEVEL WIND..NE 3   NE 2   E 2    E 2    E 2    SE 2
EYE LVL WIND G..5      5      5      5      5      5
MIX HGT (FT)....2200   2200   3000   3000   2700   1600
MIXNG WIND......NE 7   NE 7   E 6    SE 6   SE 5   SE 5
DISP IDX (LDSI).19     19     21     21     16     2
LVORI...........6      3      2      2      2      3
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (20-30 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....48.
MAX HUMIDITY........98 PERCENT.
DEWPOINT............51.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.
WIND (EYE LEVEL)....LIGHT WINDS.
POP (12 HR).................10 PERCENT.
POP (12 HR).................10 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1600 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........EAST 3 TO 6 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....3.
LVORI...............6.

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....79.
MIN HUMIDITY........53 PERCENT.
DEWPOINT............60.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 9 TO 13 MPH IN THE
                    LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
WIND (EYE LEVEL)....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 9 TO 13 MPH IN THE
                    LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
POP (12 HR).................20 PERCENT.
POP (12 HR).................20 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1400-2400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3000-3500 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........EAST AROUND 6 MPH INCREASING TO SOUTH 18 TO 26
                    MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....10 INCREASING TO 68.
LVORI...............4.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.WEDNESDAY...
COOLER. MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 6 MPH.
.THURSDAY...
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. NORTH
WINDS AROUND 6 MPH.
.FRIDAY...
MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN
THE MID 70S. LIGHT WINDS.

$$

FORECASTER...DIXON
REQUESTED BY...JUSTIN TURNBO
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED

$$

REQUESTED BY...JUSTIN TURNBO
REASON FOR REQUEST...UNDER THE INTERAGENCY AGREEMENT FOR METEOROLOGICAL SERVICES (USFS, BLM, NPS, U