FNUS72 KJAX 111334
FWSJAX

SPOT FORECAST FOR PAVILION...DOF
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
834 AM EST THU FEB 11 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 EST ON FEBRUARY 11.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS EVENING DUE TO LOW
RH VALUES FOR LONG DURATIONS...

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN IN CONTROL TODAY WITH DRY AIR STILL IN PLACE
AND WILL SUPPORT RED FLAG CONDITIONS ACROSS NORTHEAST FLORIDA. LOW
PRESSURE WILL TRACK ACROSS THE FLORIDA PENINSULA SOUTH OF THE FORECAST
AREA ON FRIDAY WITH RAIN DEVELOPING. TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS MAY REACH
AROUND 1 INCH FROM EARLY FRIDAY MORNING INTO FRIDAY EVENING.

WINDS SHOULD REMAIN LESS THAN 15 MPH TODAY AND FRIDAY. GUSTY NORTHWEST
WINDS AROUND 15 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE ON SATURDAY. WINDS WILL BE LESS
THAN 15 MPH ON SUNDAY. GUSTY WEST WINDS AROUND 15 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE
ON MONDAY. WINDS SHOULD REMAIN LESS THAN 15 MPH THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30%)...BECOMING PARTLY SUNNY (50-60)
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 53.
MIN HUMIDITY........30 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 10 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500-1900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2600 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....41.
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.

TIME (EST)      9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
SKY (%).........18     30     45     45     58
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............35     45     50     52     50
RH..............54     38     33     32     37
20 FT WIND......NW 9   NW 10  NW 9   NW 10  NW 8
20 FT WIND GUST.15     15     15     15     10
MIX HGT (FT)....700    1900   2600   2600   2400
TRANSPORT WIND..NW 14  NW 15  NW 14  NW 14  NW 12
CHC OF PCPN (%).0      0      0      0      0

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    RAIN SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 33.
MAX HUMIDITY........90 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE
                    EVENING BECOMING LIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......800-2400 FT AGL DECREASING TO 300 FT AGL IN THE
                    LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHWEST 5 TO 12 MPH DECREASING TO 2 TO 3 MPH
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
DISPERSION INDEX....1.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.

TIME (EST)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........58     71     74     74     77     87
WEATHER COV.....                            S CHC  S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR
TEMP............47     42     40     38     36     35
RH..............43     57     64     69     75     80
20 FT WIND......NW 5   NW 2   NW 3   NW 2   NW 2   NW 2
20 FT WIND GUST.10     5      5      5             5
MIX HGT (FT)....2400   800    300    300    300    300
TRANSPORT WIND..NW 12  NW 7   NW 5   NW 5   NW 2   NW 3
CHC OF PCPN (%).0      0      0      0      20     20

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 45.
MIN HUMIDITY........72 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTH 5 TO 8 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1100 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........NORTH 3 TO 9 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....8.
CHANCE OF PCPN......70 PERCENT.

$$
FORECASTER...SHASHY
REQUESTED BY...PAT DEREN
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20100211.PAVIL.01/JAX