FNUS74 KMAF 111438
FWSMAF

SPOT FORECAST FOR TNC PILE BURNING...CARLSBAD CAVERNS NATIONAL PARK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
838 AM CST THU FEB 11 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0930 MST ON FEBRUARY 11.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
MOIST CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TODAY WITH MIN RH/S ONLY DROPPING TO
60 PERCENT BY LATE AFTERNOON. LIGHT MIXED PRECIPITATION CAN BE
EXPECTED THIS MORNING WITH PRECIPITATION ENDING BY AFTERNOON.
SOME CLEARING WILL TAKE PLACE BY MID TO LATE AFTERNOON.
RH RECOVERY TONIGHT IS EXPECTED TO BE GOOD. WARMING AND DRYING
IS EXPECTED FRIDAY WITH MIN RH/S DROPPING TO 34 PERCENT
BY LATE AFTERNOON.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY THEN BECOMING PARTLY SUNNY THIS AFTERNOON.
                    RAIN...SNOW FREEZING RAIN AND LIGHT SLEET LIKELY
                    IN THE MORNING.
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PCT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 44.
MIN HUMIDITY........65 PCT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS BECOMING WEST 5 TO 10 MPH
                    THIS AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........3 /VERY LOW/.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR /3000-18000 KNOT-FT/ INCREASING TO
                    EXCELLENT /90000 KNOT-FT/ LATE IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.

TIME (MST)      9 AM         1 PM
SKY (%).........CLOUDY       MCLDY
WEATHER COV.....LIKELY
WEATHER TYPE....RAIN         NONE
TEMP............32           40
RH..............100          85
20 FT WIND DIR..VRB          VRB
20 FT WIND SPD..3            3
20 FT WIND GUST.
MIX HGT (FT)....1000         2500
TRANSP WIND DIR.W            NW
TRANSP WIND SPD.5            7
HAINES INDEX....3            3

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY.
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PCT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 30.
MAX HUMIDITY........87 PCT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 4 TO 8 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 /VERY LOW/.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD /0-30000 KNOT-FT/.

TIME (MST)      5 PM         9 PM         1 AM
SKY (%).........MCLEAR      MCLEAR        MCLEAR
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE         NONE         NONE
TEMP............42           35           32
RH..............65           85           82
20 FT WIND DIR..SW           W            W
20 FT WIND SPD..12           11           9
20 FT WIND GUST.                          10
MIX HGT (FT)....2500         < 100        < 100
TRANSP WIND DIR.W            W            W
TRANSP WIND SPD.12           8            6
HAINES INDEX....3            3            2

.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PCT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 58.
MIN HUMIDITY........34 PCT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

TIME (MST)      5 AM         9 AM         1 PM
SKY (%).........MCLEAR       MCLEAR      MCLEAR
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE         NONE         NONE
TEMP............31           34           50
RH..............81           72           42
20 FT WIND DIR..W            W            W
20 FT WIND SPD..6            4            8
20 FT WIND GUST.

$$

FORECASTER...CICCONE
REQUESTED BY...TRAVIS NEPPL
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20100211.TNCPI.01/MAF