FNUS72 KMFL 111340
FWSMFL

SPOT FORECAST FOR TUCKER RIDGE...BIA SEMINOLE AGENCY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
840 AM EST THU FEB 11 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 EST ON FEBRUARY 11.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 6 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

.DISCUSSION...A RIDGE OF SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED ACROSS THE
MISSISSIPPI VALLEY WILL CONTINUE TO IMPACT THE WEATHER ACROSS
SOUTH FLORIDA TODAY...WITH LIGHT NORTHWEST WINDS MAINTAINING A
COOL AND DRY AIR MASS OVER THE REGION. RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES
WILL FALL RAPIDLY ONCE AGAIN TODAY...AS A WARMING TREND OCCURS
THROUGH LATE AFTERNOON...WITH VALUES EXPECTED TO FALL TO AROUND 30
PERCENT IN THE VICINITY OF THE BURN SITE. COOL TEMPERATURES WILL
LEAD TO MIXING HEIGHTS NO HIGHER THAN 2400 FEET...WITH NORTHERLY
TRANSPORT LAYER WINDS ALLOWING FOR SMOKE DISPERSION TO THE SOUTH.
DISPERSION INDICES WILL BE POOR TO FAIR...GIVEN LIGHT WINDS IN THE
MIXING LAYER. WITH A DRY AIR MASS EXPECTED TO REMAIN IN PLACE
ACROSS SOUTH FLORIDA OVERNIGHT...THE POTENTIAL FOR NOCTURNAL FOG
DEVELOPMENT IS LOW.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT). PATCHY FROST EARLY IN
                    THE MORNING.
                    TEMPERATURE.........52 AT IGNITION...MAX 64.
                    MIN HUMIDITY........43 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 30 PERCENT.
DEWPOINT............38.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS NORTHWEST AT 5 MPH AT
                    IGNITION...OTHERWISE NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5
                    MPH IN THE MORNING BECOMING LIGHT.
WIND (EYE LEVEL)....NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE MORNING
                    BECOMING LIGHT.
POP (12 HR).................0 PERCENT.
POP (12 HR).................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1800 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 1100-2400
                    FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........NORTH 7 TO 10 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....18 INCREASING TO 25 IN THE AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............3.

TIME (EST)      10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM   6 PM   8 PM
SKY (%).........20     20     20     20     20     29
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
12 HR CHC PCPN. 0      0      0      0      0      10
 6 HR CHC PCPN. 0      0      0      0      0      10
TEMP............52     57     62     64     59     51
RH..............43     37     31     31     45     68
20 FT WIND......NW 4   NW 4   N 3    N 3    N 3    N 3
20 FT WIND GUST.5      5      5      5      5      5
EYE LEVEL WIND..NW 4   NW 4   N 3    N 3    N 3    N 3
EYE LVL WIND G..5      5      5      5      5      5
MIX HGT (FT)....1800   1800   2400   2400   2400   1400
MIXNG WIND......N 9    N 9    N 9    N 7    N 7    N 7
DISP IDX (LDSI).21     21     28     21     21     3
LVORI...........2      2      2      2      2      3
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....39.
MAX HUMIDITY........93 PERCENT.
DEWPOINT............42.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.
WIND (EYE LEVEL)....LIGHT WINDS.
POP (12 HR).................10 PERCENT.
POP (12 HR).................10 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1400 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........EAST 7 TO 9 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....4.
LVORI...............5.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS
                    IN THE MORNING...THEN RAIN SHOWERS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....70.
MIN HUMIDITY........60 PERCENT.
DEWPOINT............56.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST 9 TO 15 MPH WITH
                    GUSTS TO AROUND 25 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND
                    EARLY AFTERNOON...THEN SHIFTING TO THE
                    SOUTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
WIND (EYE LEVEL)....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST 9 TO 15 MPH IN
                    THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON...THEN
                    SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH LATE IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
POP (12 HR).................80 PERCENT.
POP (12 HR).................80 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1100-2700 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST 10 TO 16 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    SOUTHWEST AROUND 21 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....14 INCREASING TO 47.
LVORI...............3.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SATURDAY...
MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 9 MPH.
.SUNDAY...
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. LIGHT
WINDS.
.PRESIDENTS DAY...
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS AROUND 70. LIGHT WINDS.

$$

FORECASTER...DIXON
REQUESTED BY...MISSY
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED