FNUS72 KMHX 111406 FWSMHX SPOT FORECAST FOR RESEARCH BURN IA...CAMP LEJEUNE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC 906 AM EST THU FEB 11 2010 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1300 EST ON FEBRUARY 11. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... STRONG WINDS WILL GRADUALLY DIMINISH TODAY AS LOW PRESSURE CONTINUES TO MOVE OFF TO THE NORTHEAST TODAY AND HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN FROM THE WEST. HIGH PRESSURE WILL DOMINATE THE WEATHER THROUGH LATE WEEK...AT WHICH POINT AN ARE OF LOW PRESSURE MOVING OFF OF FLORIDA COULD TRACK FAR ENOUGH NORTH TO BRING A CHANCE OF SNOW TO THE EAST. WINDS ARE FORECAST TO REMAIN OUT OF THE NORTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH FOR MOST OF THE DAY. THEY SHOULD SUBSIDE AFTER 4 PM WHEN THE GRADIENT DECREASES. WIND GUSTS TO AROUND 20 MPH ARE EXPECTED. THE MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL BE AROUND 35% AND WILL OCCUR AROUND 2 PM. SATURDAY: THE FORECAST SOUNDINGS FOR YOUR AREA SHOW A STRONG INVERSION AROUND 2400 FEET. BASED ON HIGH TEMPERATURES IN THE MIDDLE 40S I CALCULATED A MIXING HEIGHT OF 31000 AND USING A TRANSPORT WINDS OF 7 MPH (WHICH IS ABOUT AS HIGH AS I COULD GO BASED ON THE FORECAST WIND FIELDS) YIELDED A VENTILATION RATE OF 21700. I WILL HAVE A BETTER IDEA ON PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS THIS AFTERNOON AROUND 4 PM. PLEASE CALL ME IF YOU HAVE ANY FURTHER QUESTIONS OR CONCERNS. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 45. MIN HUMIDITY........35 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 15 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......3700 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 25 TO 30 MPH...DECREASING TO 20 TO 25 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (EST) 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM SKY (%).............4 5 7 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE TEMP................44 45 43 MIN HUMIDITY........38 37 41 20 FT WIND (MPH)....NW 16 NW 16 NW 15 20 FT WIND GUST.....20 20 20 .TONIGHT... MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 25. MAX HUMIDITY........76 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH DECREASING TO 5 TO 10 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1100-3000 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 1000 FT AGL LATE. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 16 TO 24 MPH...DECREASING TO AROUND 15 MPH LATE. TIME (EST) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM TEMP................40 36 32 31 29 28 MIN HUMIDITY........46 54 62 63 66 66 20 FT WIND (MPH)....NW 14 NW 12 NW 10 NW 8 NW 5 NW 5 20 FT WIND GUST.....20 15 15 10 $$ FORECASTER...ELARDO REQUESTED BY...DAN BECKER TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20100211.RESEA.01/MHX