FNUS72 KMLB 111145
FWSMLB

SPOT FORECAST FOR LAKE LOUISA SP...FLA PARK SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
645 AM EST THU FEB 11 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 EST ON FEBRUARY 11.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 6 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

.DISCUSSION...A HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE WILL DRIFT OVER THE SOUTHEAST
STATES TODAY AND MAINTAIN A MODERATE NORTHWEST SURFACE AND TRANSPORT
FLOW ACROSS THE BURN SITE. THE NORTHWEST WINDS BLOWING OFF LAKE
LOUISA AND LAKE NELLIE MAY DELAY THE ONSET OF CRITICAL RELATIVE
HUMIDITY VALUES UNTIL MIDDAY...BUT THE OVERALL AIRMASS IS TOO DRY
TO PREVENT RED FLAG CONDITIONS FROM DEVELOPING BY AFTERNOON.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 57.
MIN HUMIDITY........26 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000-2000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 8 TO 15 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....23.
LVORI...............1.

TIME (EST)         9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM 8PM
SKY (%)............PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC
WEATHER COV........
WEATHER TYPE.......
TEMP...............41  45  50  53  56  57  56  53  51  49  47  45
RH.................47  42  38  33  28  25  27  30  35  41  47  52
20 FT WIND DIR.....N   N   NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  N   N   N   N   N
20 FT WIND SPD.....8   8   8   8   8   7   7   6   5   5   3   3
20 FT WIND GUST....10  10  10  10  10                      5   5

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY.
                    SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 38.
MAX HUMIDITY........80 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING LIGHT...THEN BECOMING NORTHEAST AROUND
                    5 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400-2000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 8 TO 9 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....5.
LVORI...............4.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. RAIN LIKELY IN THE MORNING. RAIN IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 56.
MIN HUMIDITY........66 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 5 TO 12 MPH.
CHANCE OF PCPN......80 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400-2200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 9 TO 17 MPH INCREASING TO NORTHEAST AROUND
                    24 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....49.
LVORI...............0.

$$

FORECASTER...BRAGAW
REQUESTED BY...ROSI MULHOLLAND
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20100211.LAKEL.01/MLB