FNUS72 KJAX 121557
FWSJAX

SPOT FORECAST FOR OLUSTEE BATTLE...USDA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
1057 AM EST FRI FEB 12 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON INCIDENT TIME OF 1046 EST ON FEBRUARY 12.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM IN THE GULF OF MEXICO WILL TRACK SOUTH
OF THE AREA LATER TODAY. COLD RAIN WILL CONTINUE TO OVERSPREAD NORTHEAST
FLORIDA.

PRECIPITATION WILL END TONIGHT AS THE LOW PULLS FARTHER AWAY OVER THE
ATLANTIC WATERS. BRISK NORTHERLY WINDS ON THE BACK SIDE OF THIS LOW
WILL ADVECT MUCH COOLER AND DRIER CONDITIONS ACROSS THE AREA.

SATURDAY...RH VALUES ARE EXPECTED TO BOTTOM OUT IN THE 30S AND 40S.
AT THIS TIME...CRITICALLY LOW RH VALUES WILL BE POSSIBLE ALONG THE I-75
CORRIDOR DURING THE AFTERNOON...HOWEVER THE DURATION AND WIND SPEED
CRITERIA IS NOT EXPECTED TO BE MET. NONETHELESS...NORTHWEST WINDS WILL
LIKELY SUSTAIN BETWEEN 10 AND 15 MPH FOR MUCH OF THE DAY.

EVEN DRIER CONDITIONS WILL BE POSSIBLE SUNDAY WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR
RED FLAGS FOR PORTIONS OF INLAND NORTHEAST FLORIDA.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). RAIN THROUGH THE DAY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 44.
MIN HUMIDITY........76 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTH 5 TO 12 MPH IN
                    THE MORNING.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500-1400 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........NORTH 5 TO 14 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....19.
CHANCE OF PCPN......100 PERCENT.

TIME (EST)      10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........100    100    100    97
WEATHER COV.....DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE
WEATHER TYPE....RAIN   RAIN   RAIN   RAIN
TEMP............42     43     43     43
RH..............100    94     85     85
20 FT WIND......NE 5   NE 7   NE 6   NE 7
20 FT WIND GUST.10     10     15     15
MIX HGT (FT)....1100   1400   1400   1100
TRANSPORT WIND..E 9    NE 12  NE 12  N 14
CHC OF PCPN (%).100    100    100    100
LAL.............1      1      1      1

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). RAIN EARLY IN
                    THE EVENING...THEN RAIN LIKELY IN THE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 30.
MAX HUMIDITY........99 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 9 TO 13 MPH.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......600-1100 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHWEST 14 TO 16 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....14.
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.

TIME (EST)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........97     96     90     90     94     64
WEATHER COV.....DEFNTE LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY
WEATHER TYPE....RAIN   RAIN   RAIN   RAIN   NONE   NONE
TEMP............40     36     34     33     32     31
RH..............90     97     94     92     90     87
20 FT WIND......N 8    N 10   NW 13  NW 13  NW 12  NW 10
20 FT WIND GUST.15     15     15     15     15     15
MIX HGT (FT)....1100   700    700    700    600    600
TRANSPORT WIND..N 14   NW 16  NW 16  NW 16  NW 16  NW 15
CHC OF PCPN (%).100    70     70     70     10     10
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 50.
MIN HUMIDITY........39 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 12 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH
                    LATE IN THE MORNING.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......600-1900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2000-3200 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHWEST 14 TO 20 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....64.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.

$$
FORECASTER...SHASHY
REQUESTED BY...PETE MYERS
TYPE OF REQUEST...SAR
.TAG 20100212.OLUST.01/JAX