FNUS72 KMFL 121334
FWSMFL

SPOT FORECAST FOR MICCOSUKEE RESERVATION...BIA SEMINOLE AGENCY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
834 AM EST FRI FEB 12 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 EST ON FEBRUARY 12.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A STRENGTHENING AREA OF SURFACE LOW PRESSURE WILL
TRACK EAST-NORTHEASTWARD ACROSS CENTRAL FLORIDA LATE TODAY. AS
THIS OCCURS...MODERATE SOUTHEASTERLY FLOW THIS MORNING WILL SHIFT
TO THE SOUTHWEST AND INCREASE RAPIDLY DURING THE AFTERNOON...WITH
SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS IN THE MIXING LAYER EXPECTED TO REACH 20-25
MPH. WINDS OF THIS MAGNITUDE WILL RESULT IN GENERALLY GOOD SMOKE
DISPERSION TO THE NORTH-NORTHEAST. A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL PUSH
SOUTHEASTWARD ACROSS THE FLORIDA PENINSULA THIS EVENING...WITH
WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND EVEN A FEW THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE FROM MID
TO LATE AFTERNOON. ANY SHOWER OR STORM WILL BE CAPABLE OF
PRODUCING VERY STRONG WIND GUSTS...POSSIBLY AS HIGH AS 40 MPH.
RAIN CHANCES WILL END QUICKLY EARLY THIS EVENING...AS A MUCH
COOLER AND DRIER AIR MASS BEGINS TO SPREAD ACROSS THE REGION. THE
POTENTIAL FOR FOG DEVELOPMENT OVERNIGHT WILL BE LOW...AS DRIER AIR
ADVANCES INTO SOUTH FLORIDA.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS
                    IN THE MORNING...THEN RAIN SHOWERS AND SLIGHT
                    CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
                    TEMPERATURE.........60 AT IGNITION...MAX 75.
                    MIN HUMIDITY........79 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 61 PERCENT.
DEWPOINT............60.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTHEAST AT 8 MPH AT
                    IGNITION...OTHERWISE LIGHT WINDS BECOMING
                    SOUTHWEST 9 TO 14 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND
                    AFTERNOON.
WIND (EYE LEVEL)....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 9 TO 14 MPH IN
                    THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
POP (12 HR).................90 PERCENT.
POP (12 HR).................90 PERCENT.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1300...THEN 2.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2400 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 1400-3000
                    FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST 6 TO 13 MPH INCREASING TO SOUTHWEST
                    20 TO 24 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....9 INCREASING TO 58.
LVORI...............4.

TIME (EST)      10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM   6 PM   8 PM
SKY (%).........94     100    100    100    100    100
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
12 HR CHC PCPN. 90     90     90     90     90     40
 6 HR CHC PCPN. 90     90     90     90     90     40
TEMP............60     68     74     73     69     59
RH..............79     70     61     61     69     85
20 FT WIND......SE 6   SE 6   S 10   SW 10  SW 10  W 10
20 FT WIND GUST.15     15     20     20     20     20
EYE LEVEL WIND..SE 6   SE 6   S 10   SW 10  SW 10  W 10
EYE LVL WIND G..15     15     20     20     20     20
MIX HGT (FT)....2400   2400   3000   3000   3000   2100
MIXNG WIND......SE 13  SE 13  S 20   SW 24  SW 24  W 20
DISP IDX (LDSI).26     26     47     58     58     26
LVORI...........3      3      1      1      1      4
LAL.............1      1      2      2      2      1

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS EARLY IN THE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....46.
MAX HUMIDITY........99 PERCENT.
DEWPOINT............56.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 12 TO 14 MPH.
WIND (EYE LEVEL)....NORTHWEST WINDS 12 TO 14 MPH.
POP (12 HR).................40 PERCENT.
POP (12 HR).................40 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1100-2100 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHWEST 15 TO 23 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....22 DECREASING TO 14 EARLY IN THE MORNING.
LVORI...............5.

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....64.
MIN HUMIDITY........39 PERCENT.
DEWPOINT............47.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 10 MPH.
WIND (EYE LEVEL)....NORTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 10 MPH.
POP (12 HR).................10 PERCENT.
POP (12 HR).................10 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1700-2400 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHWEST AROUND 18 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....43 INCREASING TO 49 IN THE AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............3.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SUNDAY...
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. NORTH
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.PRESIDENTS DAY...
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. LIGHT
WINDS.
.TUESDAY...
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S.
NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

FORECASTER...DIXON
REQUESTED BY...MISSY
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED