FNUS74 KEWX 141657
FWSEWX

SPOT FORECAST FOR PENN PLATEAU SOUTH...US FISH AND WILDLIFE SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
1057 AM CST SUN FEB 14 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 CST ON FEBRUARY 14.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE. THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOES NOT PROVIDE AUTHORIZATION
FOR PRESCRIBED BURNS. REFER TO LOCAL GOVERNMENT OFFICIALS OR THE TEXAS
FOREST SERVICE FOR INFORMATION ON BURN RESTRICTIONS.

.DISCUSSION...
...STRONG COLD FRONT ARRIVES AROUND 4 PM CST...
...NOTE WINDS IN DEGREES PROVIDED IN TABLES...
A STRONG COLD FRONT MOVES INTO THE NORTHERN HILL COUNTRY BETWEEN 3
AND 4 PM. THERE IS A VERY SMALL CHANCE...LESS THAN 10 PERCENT...OF A
SHOWER DEVELOPING IN THIS AREA AT THE TIME OF THE FRONT AND SHORTLY
AFTERWARDS. A LAYER OF LOW LEVEL OVERCAST SKIES WILL RETURN BEHIND
THE FRONT AND PERSIST THROUGH AROUND MIDNIGHT.

AHEAD OF THE FRONT...SKIES WILL BE MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A GENERAL LIGHT
SOUTHWEST WIND AT 7 MPH AT NOON...GRADUALLY SHIFTING TO NORTHWEST AND
INCREASING TO 10 TO 13 MPH BETWEEN 1 PM AND 4 PM.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG EARLY
                    IN THE MORNING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 57.
WIND (EYE LEVEL)....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTH AROUND 15 MPH.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTH AROUND 15 MPH WITH
                    GUSTS TO AROUND 30 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 5 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL
                    FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000-2800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 13 TO 21 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 7
                    TO 12 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY
                    AFTERNOON...THEN INCREASING TO NORTHWEST 17 TO
                    24 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON INCREASING TO
                    NORTH 31 TO 37 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.

TIME (CST)      NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........63     63     81
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............53     56     57
20 FT WIND......260/5  320/5  345/18
20 FT WIND GUST.8      10     28
EYE LEVEL WIND..260/3  320/4  340/14
EYE LEVEL WIND..       8      23
HAINES INDEX....4      4      4

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 30.
WIND (EYE LEVEL)....NORTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 16 MPH.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 16 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 35
                    MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR
                    LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2300-2600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 35 TO 40 MPH DECREASING TO 26 TO 28 MPH
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.

TIME (CST)      6 PM   MIDNGT
SKY (%).........80     70
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE
TEMP............44     35
20 FT WIND......350/23 345/15
20 FT WIND GUST.35     24
EYE LEVEL WIND..345/18 345/10
EYE LEVEL WIND..29     20
HAINES INDEX....3      4

$$
FORECASTER...18
REQUESTED BY...CARL SCHWOPE
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20100214.PENNP.01/EWX