FNUS75 KGJT 140410
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR CEDAR SPRINGS PILES...USFS ASHLEY NF
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
910 PM MST SAT FEB 13 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0930 MST ON FEBRUARY 14.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...JET STREAM IS SHIFTING EAST OF THE BURN SITE ON
SUNDAY, TAKING THE STRONGER WINDS AND MARGINAL INSTABILITY WITH
IT. TRANSPORT WINDS AND CLEARING INDEX WILL DIMINISH LATER SUNDAY
AFTERNOON. THE NEXT SYSTEM FROM THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST BRINGS
SHOWERS AND EXCELLENT MIXING (BY DEFINITION IN SHOWERS) ON MONDAY.

.SUNDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-50%).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....29-31 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........45-50%.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 5-10 MPH...SHIFTING TO
                    NORTHEAST IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......MAX OF 3500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 15 MPH...BECOMING NORTHWEST 10 MPH
                    AFTER 1500.
CLEARING INDEX......MAX OF 550 IN THE EARLY AFTERNOON.

.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS IN THE
                    MORNING...BECOMING LIKELY IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....31-34 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........65-70%.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 5 MPH.
CLEARING INDEX......150 IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO
                    1000+ IN SHOWERS.

$$
FORECASTER...JOE RAMEY
REQUESTED BY...CORDELL TAYLOR
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20100214.CEDAR.01/GJT