FNUS73 KDDC 171401 FWSDDC SPOT FORECAST FOR FORT LARNED PILE BURN...USFWS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS 801 AM CST WED FEB 17 2010 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0810 CST ON FEBRUARY 17. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... AS SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE MOVES EAST LOOK FOR SOUTHWEST TO SOUTH WINDS OF 5 TO 12 MPH BY AFTERNOON. EXPECT HIGH LEVEL CIRRUS CLOUDS TO THICKEN IN THE AFTERNOON. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 49. MIN HUMIDITY........31 PERCENT. WIND (EYE LEVEL)....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........5 TO 6 OR OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-2100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2900-4400 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON...THEN DECREASING TO 2300 FT AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 7 TO 16 MPH. TIME (CST) 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........10 20 29 39 51 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............17 30 41 48 49 RH..............84 55 39 31 33 20 FT WIND......SW 4 SW 6 S 8 S 8 S 7 20 FT WIND GUST.5 10 10 10 EYE LEVEL WIND..SW 4 SW 6 S 8 S 8 S 7 WIND GUST..5 10 10 10 HAINES INDEX....5 5 5 6 6 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 24. MAX HUMIDITY........92 PERCENT. WIND (EYE LEVEL)....SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH UNTIL EARLY MORNING BECOMING LIGHT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH UNTIL EARLY MORNING BECOMING LIGHT. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........5 TO 6 OR OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1300 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 9 TO 17 MPH. TIME (CST) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........60 62 65 67 70 72 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............43 37 33 31 28 26 RH..............43 56 66 72 81 88 20 FT WIND......S 6 S 6 S 5 SW 5 SW 4 SW 3 20 FT WIND GUST. 5 5 EYE LEVEL WIND..S 6 S 6 S 5 SW 5 SW 4 SW 3 WIND GUST.. 5 5 HAINES INDEX....6 5 5 6 5 5 .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 46. MIN HUMIDITY........49 PERCENT. WIND (EYE LEVEL)....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING EAST 5 TO 7 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING EAST 5 TO 7 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING. CWR.................10 PERCENT INCREASING TO 20 PERCENT LATE IN THE MORNING. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 5 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-2100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 1100-2700 FT AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 9 TO 15 MPH. TIME (CST) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........74 76 79 82 84 87 WEATHER COV..... S CHC S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE RAIN RAIN RAIN TEMP............24 25 33 41 45 46 RH..............96 96 72 55 51 49 20 FT WIND......SW 3 S 4 SE 5 E 5 E 5 E 5 20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 10 10 10 EYE LEVEL WIND..SW 3 S 4 SE 5 E 5 E 5 E 5 WIND GUST..5 5 10 10 10 HAINES INDEX....5 4 4 4 4 4 .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .FRIDAY... CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF RAIN OR LIGHT FREEZING DRIZZLE OR SNOW. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 9 MPH. .SATURDAY... MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S. EAST WINDS AROUND 6 MPH. .SUNDAY... MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 7 MPH. $$ FORECASTER...RITTERLING REQUESTED BY...DAVID MCCAULEY TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20100217.FORTL.01/DDC