FNUS74 KBMX 181303
FWSBMX

SPOT FORECAST FOR UPPER SHOAL...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
703 AM CST THU FEB 18 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 CST ON FEBRUARY 18.

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN OVER THE AREA THROUGH FRIDAY...WITH
TEMPS GRADUALLY WARMING THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK. WARMER TEMPS
COMBINED WITH DEW POINTS FALLING INTO THE TEENS THIS AFTERNOON
ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF CENTRAL ALABAMA WILL ALLOW
RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES TO DROP INTO THE LOWER 20S FOR SEVERAL
HOURS. THIS WILL LEAD TO THE POSSIBILITY OF HAZARDOUS FIRE
WEATHER CONDITIONS IN THIS AREA. A RED FLAG WARNING IS IN EFFECT
FROM NOON UNTIL 5 PM THIS AFTERNOON. HIGHER HUMIDITY VALUES RETURN
BY THE WEEKEND ALONG WITH RAIN CHANCES AS OUR NEXT FRONTAL SYSTEM
APPROACHES THE STATE.

.TODAY...
TIME (CST)      9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
SKY.............MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............33     40     46     48     43
RH..............60     48     38     34     41
20 FT WIND......NW 6   NW 7   NW 7   NW 7   NW 3
MIX HGT (FT)....2800   3100   3300   3600   3200
TRANSPORT WIND..NW 15  NW 14  NW 14  NW 15  NW 14
DISPERSION......10     54     47     53     55

.TONIGHT...
TIME (CST)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY.............MCLEAR MCLEAR CLEAR  CLEAR  CLEAR  CLEAR
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
RH..............46     59     69     75     78     84
20 FT WIND......NW 2   NW 2   NW 2   NW 1   N 1    NE 1
MIX HGT (FT)....2800   1500   600    300    300    300
TRANSPORT WIND..NW 13  NW 10  NW 7   W 3    W 3    NW 3
DISPERSION......45     20     5      2      2      2

.FRIDAY...
TIME (CST)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY.............MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR PCLDY
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
RH..............85     69     50     33     28     33
20 FT WIND......NE 1   NE 2   N 2    NW 3   NW 3   W 2
CHC OF PCPN (%).0      0      0      0      0      0
MIX HGT (FT)....300    1000   2100   3400   4000   3500
TRANSPORT WIND..N 3    N 7    N 8    NW 7   NW 6   NW 6
DISPERSION......2      3      4      29     28     25

$$
FORECASTER...KEISER
REQUESTED BY...JOE SMITH
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20100218.UPPER.01/BMX