FNUS74 KBMX 182156
FWSBMX

SPOT FORECAST FOR UPPER SHOAL...US FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
356 PM CST THU FEB 18 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1620 CST ON FEBRUARY 18.

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

CENTRAL ALABAMA IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN RATHER DRY THROUGH AT LEAST
TOMORROW BEFORE THE NEXT SYSTEM BEGINS TO MOVE INTO THE AREA ON
SUNDAY AND MONDAY. HOWEVER DRY...WE WILL LIKELY NOT REACH THE 25
PERCENT RED FLAG THRESHOLD TOMORROW AFTERNOON...AS SOME LIMITED
MOISTURE ADVECTION BEGINS TO TAKE PLACE. WINDS WILL CONTINUE LIGHT
NORTH TO NORTHWEST THROUGH TOMORROW BEFORE TURNING SOUTH OVER THE WEEKEND.


.TONIGHT...
TIME (CST)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY.............CLEAR  CLEAR  CLEAR  CLEAR  CLEAR  CLEAR
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
RH..............41     59     75     83     85     89
20 FT WIND......NW 3   NW 2   NW 2   N 1    N 1    NE 1
MIX HGT (FT)....900    300    300    300    300    300
TRANSPORT WIND..NW 8   NW 5   NW 3   NW 3   NW 2   NW 2
DISPERSION......4      2      2      2      1      1

.FRIDAY...
TIME (CST)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY.............CLEAR  CLEAR  CLEAR  MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
RH..............92     66     43     33     32     32
20 FT WIND......NE 1   N 2    N 2    NW 3   NW 5   NW 5
CHC OF PCPN (%).0      0      0      0      0      0
MIX HGT (FT)....300    1200   2300   3300   3900   3500
TRANSPORT WIND..W 2    NW 7   N 8    NW 7   NW 7   NW 7
DISPERSION......1      11     24     28     32     29

$$
FORECASTER...LAWS
REQUESTED BY...NOONAN PHIFER
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20100218.UPPER.02/BMX