FNUS75 KBOU 181527 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR MCQUEARY GULCH...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 815 AM MST THU FEB 18 2010 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL MOVE ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH TONIGHT WITH SNOW THROUGH THE EVENING THEN DIMINISHING BY EARLY FRIDAY MORNING. SNOW ACCUMLATIONS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE BY FRIDAY MORNING. THERE WILL BE ENOUGH INSTABILITY FOR SMOKE DISPERSAL TO IMPROVE TO GOOD BY LATE MORNING. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. SNOW LIKELY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....26. MIN HUMIDITY........92%. WIND (20 FT)........VARIABLE 2-5 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN WEST 5-9 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 9-20 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1200-2200 FT AGL UNTIL 1000...THEN 5400-6400 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0900...THEN FAIR. GOOD AFTER 1100. HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. SNOW LIKELY UNTIL 0600...THEN CHANCE OF SNOW UNTIL 0500...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. MIN TEMPERATURE.....8. MAX HUMIDITY........100%. WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST 4-8 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 5-16 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......4600 FT AGL UNTIL 1900. 400-1400 FT AGL AFTER 2000. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD UNTIL 1900. POOR AFTER 2000. HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .FRIDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW UNTIL 1100...THEN CHANCE OF SNOW. MAX TEMPERATURE.....29. MIN HUMIDITY........58%. WIND (20 FT)........WEST 7-13 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 5-16 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN 16-20 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1200-2200 FT AGL UNTIL 1100...THEN 4200-5200 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1000. GOOD AFTER 1100. HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .SATURDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS AROUND 14. HIGHS AROUND 30. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW UNTIL 1800...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS AROUND 13. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW UNTIL 0600. LOWS AROUND 9. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. EXPERIMENTAL FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR MCQUEARY GULCH. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE DIGITAL DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY NOT AGREE WITH INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. INFORMATION CONTAINED IN THIS TABLE SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AN OFFICIAL FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP TF RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 02/18-08 93 40 18 79 S 5 5 2 1 W35 1116 SW 9 9278 P 02/18-09 93 40 20 80 SW 6 1 2779 W 13 40195 F 02/18-10 93 40 22 78 SW 7 1 4442 W 16 71112 G 02/18-11 90 70 25 59 SW 8 8 2 1 W35 6105 W 20 102029 V 02/18-12 90 70 27 57 SW 9 1 6232 W 20 103520 V 02/18-13 90 70 28 56 SW 9 1 6359 W 20 105010 V 02/18-14 90 70 28 57 SW 9 9 2 1 W35 6486 W 18 106500 V 02/18-15 90 70 28 60 W 8 1 6360 W 18 101864 V 02/18-16 90 70 26 64 W 6 1 6234 W 18 97228 G 02/18-17 91 70 23 74 NW 5 5 2 1 W33 6108 W 17 92592 G 02/18-18 91 70 21 78 NW 5 1 4518 W 15 65224 G 02/18-19 91 70 19 83 W 3 1 2928 W 12 37855 P 02/18-20 91 70 17 88 W 3 3 2 1 W37 1338 W 9 10487 P 02/18-21 91 70 15 93 NW 3 1 988 W 7 7338 P 02/18-22 91 70 13 97 NW 3 1 639 NW 6 4189 P 02/18-23 90 70 12 100 NW 2 2 2 1 W40 289 NW 5 1040 P 02/19-00 90 70 11 100 NW 2 1 273 W 3 921 P 02/19-01 90 70 10 100 SW 2 1 257 W 3 802 P 02/19-02 90 50 9 100 S 2 2 2 1 W35 241 SW 3 683 P 02/19-03 90 50 9 100 SW 2 1 258 W 3 898 P 02/19-04 90 50 9 100 SW 3 1 275 W 5 1113 P 02/19-05 85 21 8 100 W 3 3 2 1 W24 186 W 3 525 P 02/19-06 85 21 8 100 W 3 1 204 W 3 514 P 02/19-07 85 21 8 100 W 3 1 223 W 2 502 P 02/19-08 85 21 9 100 W 2 2 2 1 W24 241 W 2 491 P 02/19-09 85 21 13 100 W 2 1 1519 W 7 18991 P 02/19-10 85 21 19 89 W 2 1 2797 W 12 37491 P 02/19-11 88 29 23 79 W 2 5 2 1 W24 4075 W 16 55991 F 02/19-12 88 29 25 71 W 2 1 4474 W 16 64737 G 02/19-13 88 29 28 64 W 2 1 4873 W 17 73483 G 02/19-14 88 29 29 61 W 3 7 2 1 W52 5272 W 18 82229 G 02/19-15 88 29 29 58 W 6 1 5107 W 18 83314 G 02/19-16 88 29 29 58 SW 9 1 4943 W 20 84398 G 02/19-17 95 42 28 58 SW 13 22 2 1 W59 4778 W 21 85483 G 02/19-18 95 42 25 66 SW 10 1 3674 SW 16 60252 G 02/19-19 95 42 24 72 SW 8 1 2570 SW 12 35021 P 02/19-20 95 42 22 77 SW 5 5 3 1 W49 1466 SW 8 9790 P 02/19-21 95 42 21 81 S 3 1 1087 S 6 6711 P 02/19-22 95 42 20 84 SE 2 1 709 SE 3 3631 P 02/19-23 97 42 19 88 E 2 2 3 1 W35 330 SE 2 551 P 02/20-00 97 42 18 90 E 2 1 298 SE 2 498 P 02/20-01 97 42 18 91 SE 2 1 266 SE 2 444 P 02/20-02 97 42 16 96 SE 2 2 3 1 W48 234 S 2 390 P 02/20-03 97 42 16 99 CALM 1 221 S 2 350 P 02/20-04 97 42 15 100 CALM 1 208 CALM 309 P 02/20-05 91 42 15 100 CALM 1 3 1 W46 195 CALM 269 P 02/20-06 91 42 15 100 S 3 1 192 S 3 654 P 02/20-07 91 42 14 100 S 6 1 189 SW 7 1039 P 02/20-08 91 42 15 100 SW 8 8 3 1 W37 186 SW 9 1425 P 02/20-09 91 42 18 97 SW 10 1 255 SW 12 2784 P 02/20-10 91 42 23 84 SW 13 1 325 SW 14 4143 P 02/20-11 91 39 25 77 SW 14 23 3 1 W44 394 SW 16 5502 P 02/20-12 91 39 27 72 SW 15 1 1479 SW 20 29999 P 02/20-13 91 39 29 68 SW 14 1 2564 SW 22 54497 F 02/20-14 91 39 30 67 SW 14 23 3 1 SW37 3649 SW 25 78995 G 02/20-15 91 39 30 68 SW 14 1 3517 SW 24 74179 G 02/20-16 91 39 29 71 SW 13 1 3385 SW 23 69363 G 02/20-17 94 52 28 74 SW 12 20 3 1 SW30 3253 SW 23 64547 G 02/20-18 94 52 26 82 SW 10 1 2290 SW 18 44113 F 02/20-19 94 52 24 86 SW 8 1 1326 SW 15 23679 P 02/20-20 94 52 23 88 SW 7 7 3 1 SW24 363 SW 10 3244 P 02/20-21 94 52 21 89 SW 6 1 327 SW 8 2440 P 02/20-22 94 52 20 90 S 5 1 291 S 6 1636 P 02/20-23 94 52 19 93 S 3 3 3 1 W21 255 S 3 832 P 02/21-00 94 52 18 95 S 2 1 247 S 3 680 P 02/21-01 94 52 17 95 CALM 1 239 S 2 527 P 02/21-02 94 52 16 100 CALM 1 3 1 W23 232 SW 2 375 P 02/21-03 94 52 15 100 CALM 1 230 SW 2 425 P 02/21-04 94 52 15 100 CALM 1 229 SW 2 474 P 02/21-05 80 26 14 100 S 2 2 3 1 W24 228 SW 2 524 P KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION /PERCENT/ TF - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E - EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...WFO BOULDER/ENTREKIN REQUESTED BY...MICHAEL ST MARTIN REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20100218.MCQUE.03/BOU