FNUS75 KGJT 172244
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR MOAB TAMARISK...BLM
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
344 PM MST WED FEB 17 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 MST ON FEBRUARY 18.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A WEAKENING UPPER DISTURBANCE WILL MOVE ACROSS THE BURN AREA LATE
THURSDAY. CLOUDS WILL REDUCE SURFACE HEATING...AND LIMITED
INSTABILITY WITH THE SYSTEM WILL KEEP THE CLEARING INDEX BELOW
500. A LITTLE BETTER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED FRIDAY AHEAD OF
A STRONGER STORM TO AFFECT THE AREA THIS WEEKEND...BUT FRIDAY/S
CLEARING INDEX WILL LIKELY REMAIN BELOW CRITERIA AS WELL.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80%). ISOLATED SHOWERS IN THE
                    MORNING...THEN SCATTERED SHOWERS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....35-40 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........55=64%.
WIND (20 FT)........DOWNVALLEY 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST/UPVALLEY IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
CLEARING INDEX......50 INCREASING TO 220 IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000-1700 FT AGL BY 1200 INCREASING TO 3500 FT AGL IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....DOWNVALLEY 5 MPH UNTIL 100...THE WEST/UPVALLEY 8 MPH.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...

CLEARING INDEX......150 DECREASING TO 100.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10 MPH.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (80-90%). ISOLATED SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....37-42 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........50-60%.
WIND (20 FT)........DOWNVALLEY 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH/UPVALLEY IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
CLEARING INDEX......50 INCREASING TO  380 IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4000 FT AGL IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....DOWNVALLEY 5 MPH UNTIL 1100...THEN BECOMING UPVALLEY/SOUTHWEST 11 MPH IN THE AF


$$
FORECASTER...JIM DANIELS
REQUESTED BY...PAUL PLEMONS
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20100218.MOABT.01/GJT