FNUS74 KLUB 171345
FWSLUB

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR TERRY COUNTY1...USDA-NRCS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX
745 AM CST WED FEB 17 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0750 CST ON FEBRUARY 18.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
DRY MODERATE WESTERLY FLOW ALOFT ON THURSDAY WILL LEAD TO DEVELOPMENT OF
A MODEST SURFACE LOW PRESSURE TROUGH. WIND SPEEDS AT IGNITION WILL BE A
BIT TRICKY AS A LOW LEVEL JET IS EXPECTED TO BE JUST EAST OF THE AREA.
THUS...WE ARE EXPECTING SURFACE SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS ON THE ORDER OF
10 MPH...BUT IF THE LOW LEVEL JET ENDS UP SLIGHTLY CLOSER WE MAY SEE WINDS
NEARER 20 MPH WITH GUSTS AS HIGH AS 30 MPH BETWEEN ABOUT 0800 AND 1000
THURSDAY UNTIL THE JET WEAKENS. TEMPERATURES WILL BE MILD WITH IGNITION
READINGS IN THE MID 30S WARMING TO THE LOWER 60S DURING THE AFTERNOON.
PERIODS OF HIGH CLOUDS ARE EXPECTED.

.THURSDAY...

MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 62.
MIN HUMIDITY........30 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 7 TO 8 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......200-1500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6100-7700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 9 TO 18 MPH.

TIME (CST)      7 AM   9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
TEMP............33     36     48     56     61     60
RH..............69     66     44     34     30     32
20 FT WIND......S 6    S 6    SW 6   SW 6   S 6    SE 6
20 FT WIND GUST.10     10     10     10     10     10
HAINES INDEX....3      3      3      3      3      3

.THURSDAY NIGHT...

MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 36.
MAX HUMIDITY........78 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 12 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4300-6200 FT AGL DECREASING TO 0-400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 9 TO 15 MPH.

TIME (CST)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
TEMP............59     52     47     44     41     39
RH..............33     43     53     60     67     75
20 FT WIND......SE 7   SE 8   S 8    S 9    S 8    SW 6
20 FT WIND GUST.10     15     20     20     15     10
HAINES INDEX....3      3      3      3      3      3

.FRIDAY...

MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 62.
MIN HUMIDITY........31 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 TO 3 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......0-400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 10800-11700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 8 TO 14 MPH INCREASING TO 18 TO 24 MPH
                    LATE IN THE MORNING.

TIME (CST)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
TEMP............38     39     46     55     59     61
RH..............78     75     57     40     34     31
20 FT WIND......SW 6   W 6    W 8    W 9    NW 8   NE 6
20 FT WIND GUST.10     10     15     20     15     10
HAINES INDEX....3      3      3      3      2      2

$$
FORECASTER...MCQUEEN
REQUESTED BY...STAN BRADBURY
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20100218.TERRY.01/LUB