FNUS74 KLZK 181338
FWSLZK

SPOT FORECAST FOR ASHCRAFT RX...U.S. FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
737 AM CST THU FEB 18 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 CST ON FEBRUARY 18.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
DRY CONDITIONS WILL BE NOTED ONCE AGAIN TODAY...AS HUMIDITY
REMAINS LOW. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY THIS AFTERNOON WILL DROP TO
THE 20 TO 25 PERCENT RANGE. HOWEVER...WINDS AND FUEL MOISTURE
WILL REMAIN BELOW RED FLAG CRITERIA. MOISTURE WILL INCREASE
THROUGH FRIDAY...AS HIGH PRESSURE MOVES EAST AND WINDS TURN BACK
AROUND TO THE SOUTH. A FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL MOVE IN FRIDAY...AND
WILL STALL NEAR SOUTHERN ARKANSAS. THIS WILL KEEP PRECIPITATION
CHANCES IN THE FORECAST THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK.

.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT).
                    TEMPERATURE.........50 AT IGNITION...MAX 58.
                    MIN HUMIDITY........30 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 25 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
WIND (EYE LEVEL)....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 6 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS........SOUTH 6 TO 12 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......BECOMING 4500 FT MSL.
STABILITY CLASS.....2.

TIME (CST)      12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TEMP............50  53  55  57  56  55
RH..............30  28  26  25  27  28
EYE LVL WND DIR.S   S   S   S   S   S
EYE LVL WND SPD.4   4   4   4   4   4
EYE LVL WND GST.5   5   5   5   5   5
MIX HGT (KFT)...4500 FT MSL
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW  SW  SW  SW  S   S
TRANSP WIND SPD.6   7   7   8   9   12
CHC OF PCPN (%).0   0   0   0   0   0

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....35.
MAX HUMIDITY........70 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
WIND (EYE LEVEL)....SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING LIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS........SOUTH 13 TO 21 MPH INCREASING TO 23 TO 24
                       MPH LATE IN THE EVENING.
STABILITY CLASS.....5.

TIME (CST)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........PCLDY  PCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............52     47     44     42     40     38
RH..............32     39     46     51     57     64
EYE LVL WND DIR.S      S      S      S      S      S
EYE LVL WND SPD.4      4      4      4      4      4
EYE LVL WND GST.5      5      5      5      3      3
MIX HGT (FT)....
TRANSP WIND DIR.S      S      S      S      S      S
TRANSP WIND SPD.13     17     21     24     24     23
CHC OF PCPN (%).10     10     10     10     10     10

$$
FORECASTER...L PYLE
REQUESTED BY...ADAM STROTHERS
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20100218.ASHCR.01/LZK