FNUS74 KMOB 181300
FWSMOB

SPOT FORECAST FOR NAVAL LIVE OAKS...U.S. FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
700 AM CST THU FEB 18 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1015 CST ON FEBRUARY 18.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO 6 PM CST
THIS EVENING...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH FRIDAY
AFTERNOON...

.DISCUSSION...MODERATING TEMPERATURES COMBINED WITH A CONTINUED
VERY DRY AIRMASS WILL RESULT IN HUMIDITY VALUES DROPPING BELOW CRITICAL
THRESHOLDS IN BOTH THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND SOUTH CENTRAL ALABAMA THIS
AFTERNOON. SOME MODIFICATION IN DEWPOINTS IS EXPECTED ON FRIDAY WHICH
SHOULD PREVENT THE ALABAMA COUNTIES FROM REACHING RED FLAG CRITERIA...
BUT THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE IS LIKELY TO SEE SEVERAL HOURS BELOW 35 PERCENT.
MOISTURE LEVELS WILL CONTINUE TO GRADUALLY INCREASE OVER THE WEEKEND AS
HIGH PRESSURE SHIFTS FURTHER EAST. NO FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS ARE ANTICIPATED
OVER THE WEEKEND.

.TODAY...
TIME (CST)      10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
TEMP..............47     53     55     54
RH................42     31     29     32
20 FT WIND DIR....N      NW     NW     W
20 FT WIND SPD....5      4      5      7
MIX HGT (FT)......2400   3400   3900   3200
MIX HGT (M).......730    1040   1190   980
TRANSP WIND DIR...N      NW     NW     W
TRANSP WIND SPD...10     7      9      13
TRANS SPD (M/S)...4      3      4      6
DISPERSION........32     29     43     42
LVORI.............1      2      1      1

.TONIGHT...
TIME (CST)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
TEMP..............49     45     42     42     41     39
RH................46     55     62     63     64     67
20 FT WIND DIR....SW     W      W      NW     NW     N
20 FT WIND SPD....9      9      7      6      6      7
MIX HGT (FT)......1500   700    400    600    600    600
MIX HGT (M).......460    210    120    180    180    180
TRANSP WIND DIR...SW     W      W      NW     NW     N
TRANSP WIND SPD...12     12     10     10     12     12
TRANS SPD (M/S)...5      5      4      4      5      5
DISPERSION........22     8      7      9      10     10
LVORI.............2      3      3      3      2      3

.FRIDAY...
TIME (CST)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
TEMP..............37     42     50     57     59     59
RH................71     63     51     43     42     46
20 FT WIND DIR....N      NE     E      E      SE     S
20 FT WIND SPD....7      6      5      5      5      6
MIX HGT (FT)......600    800    1800   3600   3900   3200
MIX HGT (M).......180    240    550    1100   1190   980
TRANSP WIND DIR...N      NE     NE     N      W      SW
TRANSP WIND SPD...12     12     9      5      3      5
TRANS SPD (M/S)...5      5      4      2      1      2
DISPERSION........10     12     21     20     16     18
LVORI.............3      2      2      2      2      2

$$
FORECASTER...MOB FORECASTER
REQUESTED BY...DAVID LOVELAND
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20100218.NAVAL.01/MOB