FNUS72 KMFL 191403
FWSMFL

SPOT FORECAST FOR SOUTH 41 OASIS 2 BURN...JUSTIN TURNBO-NPS BIG CYPRESS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
903 AM EST FRI FEB 19 2010

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE

DISCUSSION...HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE DEEP SOUTH WILL CONTINUE TO
RIDGE ACROSS SOUTH FLORIDA. THIS WILL LEAD TO A CONTINUATION OF
DRY WEATHER CONDITIONS TODAY. RH S ARE EXPECTED TO FALL BELOW 35
PERCENT FOR 4 HOURS OR MORE OVER COLLIER COUNTY THIS
AFTERNOON...BUT THIS IS SOMEWHAT SUBJECT TO HOW MUCH CLOUD COVER
REMAINS DURING THE DAY AND THE ASSOCIATED IMPACT ON TEMPS. MORE
CLOUD COVER LINGERING LONGER COULD KEEP TEMPS COOLER THAN
FORECAST...WHICH IN TURN WOULD KEEP RH'S SLIGHTLY HIGHER THAN
FORECASTED...AND RH'S MAY HOVER AROUND OR JUST ABOVE 35 PERCENT AT
THE BURN SITE.

LIGHTER/VARIABLE WINDS TODAY WILL LEAD TO POOR TO FAIR DISPERSION ACROSS
THE AREA.

FOR PLANNED IGNITION TIME OF 930 AM EST 02/19/10

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 6 PM EST THIS EVENING...


___________________________________________________________________
FORECAST FOR FRIDAY
TIME(EST)             9AM         NOON         3PM          6PM
___________________________________________________________________
SKY/WX............... PTCLDY      PTCLDY       PTCLDY       PTCLDY
TEMP (F)............. 47          60           68           60
DEW PT (F)........... 38          42           41           42
RH (%)............... 69          51           38           50
20 FT WIND (MPH)..... N-4         NE-5         NE-5         E-5
MIXING HGT (FT, AGL). 1200        2000         2700         2700
TRANSPORT WIND (MPH). N-5         NE-6         NE-6         E-5
LAL.................. 1           1            1            1
LDSI................. 9           17           21           18
LVORI................ 3           2            2            2

___________________________________________________________________

OUTLOOK FOR FRIDAY NIGHT
TIME(EST)             9PM         12AM         3AM          6AM

___________________________________________________________________

SKY/WX............... PTCLDY      PTCLDY       PTCLDY       PTCLDY
TEMP (F)............. 54          49           45           43
DEW PT (F)........... 44          43           41           41
RH (%)............... 70          78           86           91
20 FT WIND (MPH)..... NE-3        N-2          NE-1         NW-1
LAL.................. 1           1            1            1
LDSI................. 2           1            1            1
LVORI................ 3           4            6            7
___________________________________________________________________

OUTLOOK FOR SATURDAY AFTERNOON
TIME(EST)             9AM         NOON         3PM          6PM
___________________________________________________________________

SKY/WX............... PTCLDY      PTCLDY       PTCLDY       PTCLDY
TEMP (F)............. 49          67           75           68
DEW PT (F)........... 43          47           47           48
RH (%)............... 78          49           37           49
20 FT WIND (MPH)..... N-2         NE-4         E-4          SE-4
MIXING HGT (FT, AGL). 1800        2400         3000         3000
TRANSPORT WIND (MPH). N-2         E-4          E-6          E-5
LAL.................. 1           1            1            1
LDSI................. 5           14           26           21
LVORI................ 5           2            2            2

NO WX  = NO WEATHER          MOCLR  = MOSTLY CLEAR
SHRA   = SHOWERS             PTCLDY = PARTLY CLOUDY
TSRA   = THUNDERSTORMS       MOCLDY = MOSTLY CLOUDY
CLR    = CLEAR               CLDY   = CLOUDY

$$