FNUS72 KJAX 211343
FWSJAX

SPOT FORECAST FOR MUCK FARM WEST...USDA - FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
843 AM EST SUN FEB 21 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0855 EST ON FEBRUARY 21.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES WILL DROP INTO THE LOWER
40 PERCENT RANGE BY THE MIDDLE OF THE AFTERNOON...THEN MOISTURE
LEVELS WILL GENERALLY INCREASE AHEAD OF THE NEXT STORM SYSTEM.
RAIN CHANCES WILL BEGIN TO INCREASE LATER TODAY AND CONTINUE
THROUGH MONDAY WHEN NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS
ARE EXPECTED. MOISTURE LEVELS WILL REMAIN HIGH THROUGH WEDNESDAY
AND WINDS WILL BE GENERALLY LESS THAN 15 MPH. RED FLAG EVENTS
ARE POSSIBLE BY THE END OF NEXT WEEK AND BREEZY CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED ON THURSDAY.


.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    RAIN SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 69.
MIN HUMIDITY........43 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......900-2000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3200 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........EAST 9 TO 12 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....26.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.

TIME (EST)      9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
SKY (%).........38     48     70     75     85
WEATHER COV.....              S CHC  S CHC  S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TEMP............52     60     66     68     67
RH..............82     58     48     47     51
20 FT WIND......E 5    E 7    SE 8   E 7    E 6
20 FT WIND GUST.9      10     11     11     10
MIX HGT (FT)....900    2000   3200   3200   2500
TRANSPORT WIND..E 10   SE 12  SE 10  SE 10  E 9
CHC OF PCPN (%).5      10     20     20     20
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    RAIN SHOWERS EARLY IN THE EVENING. SLIGHT
                    CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT. PATCHY
                    FOG AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 55.
MAX HUMIDITY........99 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH BECOMING LIGHT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......700-2500 FT AGL DECREASING TO 400-700 FT AGL
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST 6 TO 9 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....4.
LVORI...............4.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.

TIME (EST)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........85     90     90     92     88     74
WEATHER COV.....S CHC                       S CHC  S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR NONE   NONE   NONE   RN/FG  RN/FG
TEMP............65     61     59     58     57     56
RH..............57     68     73     77     82     87
20 FT WIND......E 6    E 5    E 5    SE 6   SE 6   SE 5
20 FT WIND GUST.10                                 10
MIX HGT (FT)....2500   1600   700    700    400    700
TRANSPORT WIND..E 9    NE 8   E 6    E 6    E 6    SE 8
CHC OF PCPN (%).20     10     10     10     20     20
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1

.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG EARLY
                    IN THE MORNING. A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS IN THE
                    MORNING. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. RAIN SHOWERS
                    LIKELY IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 73.
MIN HUMIDITY........62 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 6 TO 10 MPH
                    EARLY IN THE MORNING.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1300...THEN 2.
MIXING HEIGHT.......700-1700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2900 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 8 TO 13 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....30.
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT.

$$
FORECASTER...SHASHY
REQUESTED BY...TAMMY MILTON
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20100221.MUCKF.01/JAX