FNUS72 KJAX 220959
FWSJAX

SPOT FORECAST FOR SHERRILLS MILL 02...USDA - FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
459 AM EST MON FEB 22 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 2030 EST ON FEBRUARY 21.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE
EXPECTED PRIMARILY IN THE AFTERNOON AND TAPERING OFF IN THE
EVENING. A COLD FRONT WILL BRING IN COOLER AND DRIER CONDITIONS ON
TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY...ALTHOUGH RH VALUES ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN
ABOVE CRITICAL LEVELS. ANOTHER SHOT OF EVEN COLDER AND DRIER AIR
WILL ARRIVE THURSDAY BRINGING BREEZY TO WINDY CONDITIONS WITH RED
FLAG EVENTS THROUGH SATURDAY.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS IN THE MORNING. RAIN LIKELY AND
                    SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 74.
MIN HUMIDITY........61 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 13 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......700-2200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2700-3200 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 8 TO 17 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 17
                    TO 21 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....51.

TIME (EST)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........73     75     75     75     85     85
WEATHER COV.....       CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE LIKELY LIKELY
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RAIN   RAIN
TEMP............55     56     64     70     73     73
RH..............100    100    85     69     63     63
20 FT WIND......S 6    S 8    S 10   S 13   S 12   SW 10
20 FT WIND GUST.10     15     15     20     20     15
MIX HGT (FT)....700    1000   2200   2200   3200   2700
TRANSPORT WIND..S 8    S 12   S 17   S 17   S 21   SW 17

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). RAIN LIKELY AND
                    SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE
                    EVENING...THEN CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND
                    SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE
                    EVENING. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT. AREAS OF FOG AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 54.
MAX HUMIDITY........98 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 6 TO 10 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......800-2700 FT AGL DECREASING TO 400-700 FT AGL
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 8 TO 17 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST
                    AROUND 7 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING.
DISPERSION INDEX....5.

TIME (EST)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........85     86     86     86     62     62
WEATHER COV.....LIKELY LIKELY CHANCE CHANCE AREAS  AREAS
WEATHER TYPE....RAIN   RAIN   RNSHWR RNSHWR FOG    FOG
TEMP............68     63     61     59     57     56
RH..............75     90     96     95     94     92
20 FT WIND......SW 10  SW 9   SW 8   SW 8   W 8    W 7
20 FT WIND GUST.15     10     10     10     10
MIX HGT (FT)....2700   1100   800    800    400    700
TRANSPORT WIND..SW 17  SW 12  SW 9   SW 9   SW 8   W 7

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT). AREAS OF FOG EARLY IN THE
                    MORNING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 72.
MIN HUMIDITY........38 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 6 TO 9 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......700-1700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2700-2900 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 7 TO 10 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....34.

$$
FORECASTER...TRABERT
REQUESTED BY...TAMMY MILTON
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20100221.SHERR.01/JAX