FNUS72 KMLB 211916
FWSMLB

SPOT FORECAST FOR SWORD BEACH...USFWS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
216 PM EST SUN FEB 21 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1401 EST ON FEBRUARY 21.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...EXPECT STEADY WIND SPEEDS CLOSE TO 10 MPH...WITH
WIND DIRECTION VARYING BETWEEN EAST AND SOUTHEAST DURING THE LATE
AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL DECREASE AFTER SUNSET AND BECOME SOUTHEAST
AND THEN SOUTHERLY LATE TONIGHT. FAIR TO GOOD NIGHTTIME DISPERSION
EXPECTED (VALUE OF 12) WITH A LVORI OF AROUND 6...SO WITH STEADY
SOUTHEAST TO SOUTH WINDS...DO NOT EXPECT DENSE SMOKE TO SETTLE
NEAR THE WILDFIRE SITE. HOWEVER...PLUME WILL SHOW A GENTLE NORTHWARD
DRIFT.


.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 72.
MIN HUMIDITY........52 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST-SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 9 TO 11 MPH.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 9 TO 12 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....28.
LVORI...............0.

TIME (EST)      3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM
SKY (%).........PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC
WEATHER COV.....            SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
WEATHER TYPE....            RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
TEMP............71  70  68  65  63  62  61  59  59  58  57  57
RH..............57  59  64  69  75  78  81  87  87  90  93  93
20 FT WIND DIR..ESE ESE ESE ESE ESE ESE ESE ESE SE  SE  SE  SSE
20 FT WIND SPD..11  11  10   9   7   5   3   3   5   5   6   6
20 FT WIND GUST.15  15  15  13   9   7   5   5   8   8   8   8

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CONSIDERABLE CLOUDINESS. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS EARLY IN THE EVENING...THEN CHANCE OF
                    RAIN SHOWERS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 55.
MAX HUMIDITY........96 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING LIGHT...THEN BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 7 MPH
                    LATE IN THE EVENING.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2100-3200 FT AGL DECREASING TO 200-300 FT AGL
                    IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 12 TO 18 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....12.
LVORI...............6.

.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS EARLY IN
                    THE MORNING...THEN RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 76.
MIN HUMIDITY........68 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 7 TO 10 MPH.
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 0700...THEN 2.
MIXING HEIGHT.......200-1500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2800-3500 FT AGL
                    IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 13 TO 17 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....45.
LVORI...............0.

$$
FORECASTER...CRISTALDI
REQUESTED BY...CYNTHIA BRANHAM
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20100221.SWORD.01/MLB