FNUS72 KMLB 211921
FWSMLB

SPOT FORECAST FOR WF-64-ROUTE 40...DIVISION OF FORESTRY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
221 PM EST SUN FEB 21 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1430 EST ON FEBRUARY 21.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...EXPECT STEADY WIND SPEEDS CLOSE TO 10 MPH...WITH
WIND DIRECTION VARYING BETWEEN EAST AND SOUTHEAST DURING THE LATE
AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL DECREASE AFTER SUNSET AND BECOME SOUTHEAST
AND THEN SOUTHERLY LATE TONIGHT. FAIR TO GOOD NIGHTTIME DISPERSION
EXPECTED (VALUE OF 12) WITH A LVORI OF AROUND 6...SO WITH STEADY
SOUTHEAST TO SOUTH WINDS...DO NOT EXPECT DENSE SMOKE TO SETTLE
NEAR THE WILDFIRE SITE. HOWEVER...PLUME WILL SHOW A GENTLE NORTHWARD
DRIFT.

.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS LATE IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 70.
MIN HUMIDITY........48 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 8 TO 9 MPH.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 8 TO 12 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....29.
LVORI...............0.

TIME (EST)      2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM
SKY (%).........PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC
WEATHER COV.....    SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
WEATHER TYPE....    RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
TEMP............70  70  70  68  66  64  62  61  60  60  59  59
RH..............53  55  62  69  73  78  78  81  81  83  83  83
20 FT WIND DIR..E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT WIND SPD..9   9   8   8   8   7   6   5   5   5   5   5
20 FT WIND GUST.10  10  10  10  10

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CONSIDERABLE CLOUDINESS. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS EARLY IN THE EVENING...THEN CHANCE OF
                    RAIN SHOWERS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 57.
MAX HUMIDITY........90 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3200 FT AGL DECREASING TO 400-500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 12 TO 14 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....8.
LVORI...............5.

.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS EARLY IN
                    THE MORNING...THEN RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 76.
MIN HUMIDITY........61 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 13 MPH.
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 0700...THEN 2.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2500-3500 FT AGL IN
                    THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 13 TO 15 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....38.
LVORI...............0.

$$
FORECASTER...WIMMER
REQUESTED BY...JASON LONGFELLOW
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20100221.WF64R.01/MLB