FNUS72 KTAE 211055
FWSTAE

SPOT FORECAST FOR C-7A  UNIT 2...USFWS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
555 AM EST SUN FEB 21 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 EST ON FEBRUARY 21.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.AT (850)942-8835

.DISCUSSION...MOISTURE LEVELS WILL INCREASE TODAY AS A WARM FRONT
LIFTS NORTH TOWARD THE REGION. RED FLAG CONDITIONS ARE NOT
ANTICIPATED ANYWHERE WITHIN THE FORECAST AREA TODAY. IN FACT...
RAIN IS EXPECTED TO MOVE INTO THE AREA FROM THE SOUTH THROUGH
TONIGHT AS THE WARM FRONT LIFTS ACROSS THE AREA. A COLD FRONT WILL
THEN CROSS THE REGION ON MONDAY AND BE ACCOMPANIED BY SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. DRIER AIR WILL MOVE IN BEHIND THE FRONT AND INLAND
PORTIONS OF THE PANHANDLE ALONG AND NORTH OF INTERSTATE 10 COULD
SEE 3-HOUR DURATIONS OF RELATIVE HUMIDITY BELOW 35 PERCENT. A
SECOND COLD FRONT WILL BRING MUCH COOLER AND DRIER AIR TO THE
REGION BEGINNING WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. RED FLAG CRITERIA ARE LIKELY
TO ME MET ACROSS THE ENTIRE FORECAST AREA ON THURSDAY AND POSSIBLY
FRIDAY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON.
                    TEMPERATURE.........47 AT IGNITION...MAX 67.
                    MIN HUMIDITY........89 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 49 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS EAST AT 7 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
                    SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH.
CWR.................20 PERCENT INCREASING TO 40 PERCENT IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1600 FT AGL AT IGNITION...RISING TO 2800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 8 TO 16 MPH.
DISPERSION..........MAX 37.

TIME (EST)      9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM   7 PM
SKY (%).........PCLDY  PCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY
WEATHER COV.....              CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TEMP............47     55     63     67     64     60
RH..............89     72     54     49     58     71
20 FT WIND......E 7    E 8    SE 9   SE 9   E 9    E 12
20 FT WIND GUST.10     10     15     15     15     15

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS EARLY IN THE EVENING...THEN SLIGHT
                    CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....52.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 13 MPH.
CWR.................40 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......DECREASING TO FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 8 TO 14 MPH.
DISPERSION..........MIN 14.

.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....68.
MIN HUMIDITY........75 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 17 MPH.
CWR.................50 PERCENT.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 0700...THEN 2.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1300-2000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 14 TO 21 MPH.
DISPERSION..........MAX 40.

$$
FORECASTER...WOOL
REQUESTED BY...VIC DOIG
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20100221.C7AUN.01/TAE