FNUS76 KMFR 221541
FWSMFR

SPOT FORECAST FOR MODOC REFUGE...USFWS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
741 AM PST MON FEB 22 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 PST ON FEBRUARY 22.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...THE WEAKENING BLOCKING PATTERN THAT BROUGHT THE WARM A
ND DRY WEATHER TO THE AREA LAST WEEK WILL BREAK DOWN COMPLETELY TODAY
AND TOMORROW AND A COOLER AND MUCH WETTER PATTERN WILL DEVELOP.  A
COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ONSHORE TUESDAY. THIS SYSTEM WILL BE THE FIRST
OF SEVERAL WHICH WILL MOVE ONSHORE THROUGH THE WEEK WITH SHORT BREAKS
IN THE ACTION EVERY THIRD DAY OR SO.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....44-46.
MIN HUMIDITY........20-24 PERCENT.
WIND (EYE LEVEL)....LIGHT BECOMING SOUTHEAST 2-3 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......NEAR SURFACE INCREASING TO 4000 FT AGL IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........LIGHT BECOMING SOUTHEAST 10 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....18-20.
MAX HUMIDITY........83-87 PERCENT.
WIND (EYE LEVEL)....SOUTHEAST 2-3 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4000 FT AGL LOWERING TO NEAR THE SURFACE.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST 10 MPH BECOMING SOUTHEAST 2-3 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....45-47.
MIN HUMIDITY........28-32 PERCENT.
WIND (EYE LEVEL)....SOUTHEAST 2-3 MPH BECOMING SOUTH 4-5 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......NEAR SURFACE INCREASING TO 4500 FT AGL IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST 2-3 MPH BECOMING SOUTH TO
                    SOUTHWEST 30 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.

$$
FORECASTER...STOCKTON
REQUESTED BY...RUTH JOHNSON
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20100222.MODOC.01/MFR