FNUS72 KMLB 231355
FWSMLB

SPOT FORECAST FOR KP 11...FLORIDA PARK SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
855 AM EST TUE FEB 23 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 EST ON FEBRUARY 23.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH
THURSDAY AFTERNOON...

.DISCUSSION...LATEST VISIBLE SATELLITE PICTURE SHOWS LOW CLOUDS
EXTENDING WELL WEST INTO THE EASTERN GULF OF MEXICO. THE POSSIBILITY
OF LIGHT DRIZZLE WILL EXIST THROUGH THE MORNING. LOCAL SHORT TERM
MODEL SOUNDING FOR THE BURN SITE SHOWS CLOUD BASES RISING DURING
THE AFTERNOON WHICH SUGGESTS INCREASING MIXING HEIGHTS AS WELL AS
INCREASING TRANSPORT WINDS. SKIES ARE FORECAST TO CLEAR AND WINDS
ARE EXPECTED TO BECOME LIGHT TO CALM AFTER MIDNIGHT. WITH SATURATED
GROUND CONDITIONS...FOG IS FORECAST TO FORM. IF FOG MIXES WITH
SMOKE FROM SMOLDERING FIRES...THE FOG SMOKE MIXTURE CAN BECOME
VERY THICK AND MOVE TO THE WEST AND SOUTHWEST UNDER THE OVERNIGHT
INVERSION.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CONSIDERABLE CLOUDINESS THEN BECOMING PARTLY
                    SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS EARLY IN
                    THE MORNING...THEN SCATTERED SPRINKLES EARLY IN
                    THE MORNING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 77.
MIN HUMIDITY........64 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHWEST 5 TO 12 MPH IN
                    THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......200-1800 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2900-3500 FT AGL
                    IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 7 TO 13 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....43.
LVORI...............0.

TIME (EST)      10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM
SKY (%).........PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TEMP............69  71  73  75  74  74  73  71  68  66  64  63
RH..............84  76  71  64  64  64  64  68  76  78  84  84
20 FT WIND DIR..NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  N   N   N   N   N
20 FT WIND SPD..6   8   9   10  12  10  9   8   7   6   5   3
20 FT WIND GUST.    10  10              10  10  10          5

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. PATCHY FOG EARLY IN THE MORNING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 55.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING LIGHT...THEN BECOMING NORTH AROUND 5
                    MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1700-3500 FT AGL DECREASING TO 400-700 FT AGL
                    IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 7 TO 10 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....3.
LVORI...............9.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY.
                    PATCHY FOG EARLY IN THE MORNING. CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 77.
MIN HUMIDITY........48 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTH AROUND 5 MPH IN THE
                    MORNING...THEN BECOMING LIGHT EARLY IN THE
                    AFTERNOON BECOMING WEST AROUND 13 MPH LATE IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1300...THEN 2.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400-1800 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2900-3500 FT AGL
                    IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 8 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    SOUTHEAST AROUND 10 MPH LATE IN THE
                    MORNING...THEN SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST AROUND
                    13 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON SHIFTING TO THE
                    WEST AROUND 21 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....54.
LVORI...............0.

$$
FORECASTER...WIMMER
REQUESTED BY...PAUL MILLER
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20100223.KP11_.01/MLB