FNUS72 KJAX 241319 FWSJAX SPOT FORECAST FOR BULOW RX...DOF NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL 819 AM EST WED FEB 24 2010 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0835 EST ON FEBRUARY 24. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 7 PM EST THURSDAY... ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING... .DISCUSSION...LOW PRESSURE IS FORECAST TO DEVELOP OFFSHORE THE FLORIDA EAST COAST TODAY...THEN INTENSIFY AS IT LIFTS NORTHEAST TONIGHT. THE MOISTURE AND LIFT AROUND THE LOW WILL BRING A GOOD CHANCE OF SHOWERS TO THE AREA MAINLY THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING. A MUCH COLDER AND DRIER AIRMASS WILL PLUNGE INTO THE REGION LATE TONIGHT AND CONTINUE THURSDAY. NORTHWEST WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 15 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT...AND NEAR 15 TO 20 MPH ON THURSDAY WITH HIGHER GUSTS TO 30 MPH POSSIBLE. THE MUCH DRIER AIR WILL DROP RH'S BELOW CRITICAL VALUES THURSDAY...AND A RED FLAG WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED. EXTENDED DURATIONS OF LOW HUMIDITIES ARE EXPECTED FRIDAY AND A FIRE WEATHER WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS IN THE LATE MORNING. RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 64. MIN HUMIDITY........57 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 14 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......600-1900 FT AGL. MIXING WINDS........NORTHWEST 7 TO 10 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 17 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. DISPERSION INDEX....19. CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT. TIME (EST) 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........63 72 83 83 84 WEATHER COV.....S CHC S CHC LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............56 60 63 63 63 RH..............91 81 69 62 63 20 FT WIND......N 6 N 6 N 7 NW 10 NW 14 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 15 20 MIX HGT (FT)....1000 1500 1900 1900 1700 TRANSPORT WIND..N 9 N 9 NW 10 NW 10 NW 17 CHC OF PCPN (%).20 20 70 70 70 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLEAR (20-30 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY EARLY IN THE EVENING...THEN CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS IN THE EVENING. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 36. MAX HUMIDITY........85 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 14 TO 17 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. MIXING HEIGHT.......1400-1700 FT AGL. MIXING WINDS........NORTHWEST 17 TO 26 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 28 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING. DISPERSION INDEX....29. CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT. TIME (EST) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........84 67 39 39 18 8 WEATHER COV.....LIKELY CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE NONE TEMP............56 49 45 43 40 39 RH..............69 83 80 77 74 71 20 FT WIND......NW 15 NW 15 NW 15 NW 17 NW 16 W 15 20 FT WIND GUST.20 25 25 25 25 25 MIX HGT (FT)....1700 1400 1500 1500 1600 1500 TRANSPORT WIND..NW 17 NW 24 NW 26 NW 26 NW 26 NW 28 CHC OF PCPN (%).70 30 30 30 10 10 .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 56. MIN HUMIDITY........23 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 14 TO 17 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH INCREASING TO 35 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. MIXING HEIGHT.......1400-2400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3300-3500 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. MIXING WINDS........NORTHWEST 23 TO 28 MPH. DISPERSION INDEX....69. CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT. $$ FORECASTER...SANDRIK REQUESTED BY...TRAVIS GRECO TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20100224.BULOW.01/JAX