FNUS72 KJAX 241135
FWSJAX

SPOT FORECAST FOR OKR_0412...USFWS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
635 AM EST WED FEB 24 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 EST ON FEBRUARY 24.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 6 PM EST THURSDAY FOR
STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...

.DISCUSSION...CLOUDS WILL INCREASE AS A DISTURBANCE APPROACHES
FROM THE WEST. LOW PRESSURE WILL DEVELOP OFFSHORE OF THE FLORIDA
EAST COAST TODAY...THEN INTENSIFY AS IT LIFTS NORTHEAST TONIGHT.
THE COMBINATION OF THE DEVELOPING LOW AND UPPER DISTURBANCE WILL
BRING A GOOD CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS MAINLY LATE THIS AFTERNOON
AND EARLY EVENING.

A MUCH COLDER AND DRIER AIRMASS WILL PLUNGE INTO THE REGION LATE
TONIGHT AND CONTINUE THURSDAY. NORTHWEST WINDS WILL BE AROUND 10 MPH
TONIGHT...AND NEAR 15 TO 20 MPH ON THURSDAY WITH HIGHER GUSTS TO
30 MPH POSSIBLE. THE MUCH DRIER AIR WILL DROP RH'S BELOW CRITICAL
VALUES THURSDAY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS
                    LIKELY IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 56.
MIN HUMIDITY........49 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH IN
                    THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......600-2300 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 15
                    MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....38.

TIME (EST)      9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
SKY (%).........54     73     75     75     77
WEATHER COV.....              LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TEMP............47     52     55     55     52
RH..............76     61     53     51     56
20 FT WIND......N 3    NW 6   NW 8   NW 10  NW 9
20 FT WIND GUST.10     10     15     15     15
MIX HGT (FT)....900    1600   2300   2300   2100
TRANSPORT WIND..N 6    NW 10  NW 15  NW 15  NW 15
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLEAR (20-30 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS
                    LIKELY EARLY IN THE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 29.
MAX HUMIDITY........91 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500-2100 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHWEST 12 TO 15 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....8.

TIME (EST)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........77     39     24     24     17     8
WEATHER COV.....LIKELY
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............49     41     38     36     34     32
RH..............65     84     89     87     85     82
20 FT WIND......NW 8   NW 8   NW 12  W 12   W 9    NW 8
20 FT WIND GUST.15     10                   15     15
MIX HGT (FT)....2100   800    700    700    500    600
TRANSPORT WIND..NW 15  NW 13  NW 12  NW 12  NW 12  NW 14
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 53.
MIN HUMIDITY........20 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 8 TO 17 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH
                    EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......600-2300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3700-3900 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHWEST 14 TO 18 MPH INCREASING TO 23 TO 28
                    MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....77.

$$
FORECASTER...TRABERT
REQUESTED BY...M WARD
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20100224.OKR_0.01/JAX