FNUS75 KMSO 251921
FWSMSO

SPOT FORECAST FOR SEARCH   RESCUE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MISSOULA MT
1221 PM MST THU FEB 25 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON INCIDENT TIME OF 1131 MST ON FEBRUARY 25.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...SHOWERS AND CLOUDS WILL CONTINUE TO PLAGUE THE SOUTHERN
MISSION MOUNTAINS THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS. A FEW BREAKS IN THE
SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON BUT THE TIMING OF ANY BREAKS WILL
BE QUITE CHALLENGING AND VERY SHORT LIVED AS SATELLITE AND RADAR IMAGES
TO THE WEST SHOW ADDITIONAL CLOUDS AND SHOWERS MOVING QUICKLY EAST.
GUSTY WINDS WILL ALSO CONTINUE THIS AFTERNOON...ESPECIALLY NEAR ANY
SHOWERS AS THE ATMOSPHERE REMAINS VERY CONVECTIVE THROUGH THE EVENING.

MODELS DO SHOW A STABILIZING ATMOSPHERE OVERNIGHT AND DRYING ALOFT
WHICH WILL LEAD TO LESSER CLOUD COVER AND DECREASING WINDS. THE SKY
WILL LIKELY BE MOSTLY CLEAR TO PARTLY CLOUDY BY FRIDAY MORNING.
TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO DROP WITH THE CLEARING AND RECENT
SNOWFALL. ANOTHER WEAK PACIFIC STORM SYSTEM WILL BEGIN TO STREAM
INCREASING CLOUDS TO THE SOUTHERN MISSION MOUNTAINS BY FRIDAY
AFTERNOON.

.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY.
CHANCE OF PCPN......90-100%.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....26-31.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 10-20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH THIS
                    AFTERNOON.

TIME (MST)      11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P
SKY (%).........72  72  72  72  72  72  54  54  54  54  54  54
WEATHER COV.....LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
WEATHER TYPE....SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
TEMP............25  27  28  27  27  27  26  25  23  23  23  22
20 FT WIND DIR.. W   W   W  W   W   W   W   W   W   SW  SW  SW
20 FT WIND SPD..15  15  15  20  20  20  20  15  10   5   5   5
20 FT WIND GUST.30  30  30  30  30  30  30  25  20  15  15  15

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY.
                    SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS IN THE EVENING.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20-25%.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....14-19.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS AROUND 5-10 MPH IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING SOUTHWEST OVERNIGHT.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY IN THE MORNING BECOMING MOSTLY
                    CLOUDY IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......LESS THAN 10%.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....33-38.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 10-15 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH
                    LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.

$$

FORECASTER...DICKERSON
REQUESTED BY...RON SWANEY
TYPE OF REQUEST...SAR
.TAG 20100225.SEARC.01/MSO