FNUS73 KPAH 261620 FWSPAH SPOT FORECAST FOR BASS PONDS...USFWS CRAB ORCHARD NWR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY 1020 AM CST FRI FEB 26 2010 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0935 CST ON FEBRUARY 26. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... THERE APPEARS TO BE MORE LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE AROUND THIS MORNING THAN PREVIOUSLY EXPECTED...SO HAVE INCREASED THE RELATIVE HUMIDITIES THROUGH THE DAY. HOWEVER...WOULD NOT BE SURPRISED TO SEE BETTER MIXING THIS AFTERNOON...LEADING TO RELATIVE HUMIDITIES INTO THE 30S. OTHERWISE...PRETTY HIGH CONFIDENCE IN PERSISTENT NORTHWEST WINDS...AND DECENT DISPERSION. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........32 AT IGNITION...MAX 43. MIN HUMIDITY........85 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 45 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WINDS NORTHWEST AT 6 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHWEST 5 TO 8 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 5. MIXING HEIGHT.......3100 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 2000-3600 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 10 TO 18 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 20 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (CST) 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........MCR MCR MCR MCR PC PC PC PC PC WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............29 32 35 38 40 41 42 41 40 RH..............85 75 66 59 55 53 50 50 48 20 FT WIND DIR..NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW 20 FT WIND SPD..4 5 5 6 6 6 6 5 5 20 FT WIND GUST.5 10 10 10 10 10 10 MIX HGT (KFT)...2.8 3.1 3.3 3.4 3.5 3.6 3.6 3.5 3.4 TRANSP WIND DIR.NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW TRANSP WIND SPD.13 14 14 15 16 17 17 18 20 CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT). MIN TEMPERATURE.....24. MAX HUMIDITY........71 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1500-3300 FT AGL DECREASING TO 1000-1300 FT AGL AFTER MIDNIGHT. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH. TIME (CST) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY MCLEAR WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............38 33 31 29 28 26 RH..............48 54 56 60 63 65 20 FT WIND......NW 4 NW 4 NW 4 NW 3 NW 2 NW 2 20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 5 5 5 5 MIX HGT (FT)....3300 2700 2000 1500 1200 1000 TRANSPORT WIND..NW 20 NW 20 NW 20 N 18 NW 17 NW 16 CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....5 5 4 4 4 4 .SATURDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....43. MIN HUMIDITY........36 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHWEST 5 TO 9 MPH. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1200-3000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3200-3600 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 15 TO 24 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 25 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (CST) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM SKY (%).........MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............25 31 38 42 RH..............71 61 44 36 20 FT WIND......NW 3G5 NW 6G10 NW 6G15 NW 7G15 MIX HGT (FT)....1200 2000 3000 3500 TRANSPORT WIND..NW 15 NW 15 NW 17 NW 22 CWR.............0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 $$ FORECASTER...SPAETH REQUESTED BY...RAYMOND J PARRISH TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20100226.BASSP.01/PAH