FNUS72 KMHX 281321
FWSMHX

SPOT FORECAST FOR 3 2 3 LOLA RD...USFWS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC
821 AM EST SUN FEB 28 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0815 EST ON FEBRUARY 28.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN FROM THE WEST THROUGH MONDAY. LOW
PRESSURE NEAR THE GULF COAST MONDAY NIGHT WILL MOVE OFF THE
SOUTHEAST COAST AND STRENGTHEN ON TUESDAY THEN TRACK NORTHEAST
ALONG THE NORTH CAROLINA COAST TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY. HIGH
PRESSURE WILL GRADUALLY BUILD IN FROM THE WEST THURSDAY THROUGH
SATURDAY.

WINDS SHOULD STAY OUT OF THE NORTHWEST THROUGHOUT THE DAY. YESTERDAY A
SEA BREEZE DEVELOPED AND SWITCHED THE FLOW TO THE SOUTHWEST. WE DO NOT
ANTICIPATE THIS HAPPENING TODAY. THE GRADIENT IS MORE PRONOUNCED AND
WINDS ARE WELL ALIGNED THROUGH A DEEP LAYER IN THE ATMOSPHERE. WE HAVE
INCREASED SURFACE AND TRANSPORT WINDS UP A LITTLE FROM
THE FIRE WEATHER FORECAST AND LOWERED THE MINIMUM HUMIDITY AROUND 5%.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 49.
MIN HUMIDITY........40 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 16 GUSTING TO 25 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 20 TO 25 MPH.

TIME (EST)          8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).............21     20     19     20     24
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP................37     43     46     49     48
                    MIN HUMIDITY........70     55     49     40     46
20 FT WIND (MPH)....NW 15  NW 15  NW 17  WNW 17 WNW 17
20 FT WIND GUST.....20     20     25     25     25
HAINES INDEX........4      4      4      4      4

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 35.
MAX HUMIDITY........83 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR
                    LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3200-4500 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 1900 FT AGL
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 20 TO 25 MPH.

TIME (EST)          6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).............28     29     30     31     30     27
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP................46     43     41     40     39     38
                    MIN HUMIDITY........53     62     67     64     64     64
20 FT WIND (MPH)....W 20   W 21   NW 20  NW 18  NW 17  NW 17
20 FT WIND GUST.....25     25     25     25     25     20
HAINES INDEX........4      4      4      4      3      4

.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 49.
MIN HUMIDITY........46 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 5 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL
                    FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH.

TIME (EST)          6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).............23     23     28     32     34     38
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP................38     39     44     47     48     48
                    MIN HUMIDITY........64     62     51     47     46     47
20 FT WIND (MPH)....NW 16  NW 15  NW 14  NW 14  NW 13  W 13
20 FT WIND GUST.....20     20     20     15     15     15
HAINES INDEX........4      4      3      3      4      5

$$
FORECASTER...ELARDO
REQUESTED BY...GREG SUSZEK
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20100228.323LO.01/MHX