FNUS72 KMFL 011354 FWSMFL SPOT FORECAST FOR CALSTONES...NATIONAL PARK SERVICE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 854 AM EST MON MAR 1 2010 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0850 EST ON MARCH 01. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 7 PM EST THIS EVENING... .DISCUSSION...AN AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE CURRENTLY CENTERED OVER SOUTH FLORIDA WILL SHIFT EAST INTO THE ATLANTIC THIS AFTERNOON. HOWEVER, THE PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL REMAIN WEAK EVEN AS THE HIGH SHIFTS EAST MAINTAINING A LIGHT EAST WIND FLOW. THIS WILL NOT ALLOW THE LOW LEVEL MOISTURE TO RECOVER AT THE BURN SITE AND WITH WARMER TEMPERATURES EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON, THE RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL DROP TO AT OR SLIGHTLY BELOW 30 PERCENT REMAINING BELOW 35 PERCENT FOR FOUR TO FIVE HOURS. THUS, A RED FLAG WARNING IS IN EFFECT THIS AFTERNOON WITH THE LOWEST RELATIVE HUMIDITY EXPECTED AT THE FIRE SITE BETWEEN NOON AND 5 PM EST. THE LIGHT WIND WILL ALSO RESULT IN POOR TO FAIR DISPERSION TODAY IMPROVING TO GENERALLY GOOD ON TUESDAY AS A STRONG COLD FRONT APPROACHES THE REGION. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 72. MIN HUMIDITY........29 PERCENT. DEWPOINT............44. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. WIND (EYE LEVEL)....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. POP (12 HR).................10 PERCENT. POP (12 HR).................10 PERCENT. LAL.................1. MIXING HEIGHT.......1600-3000 FT AGL. MIXING WINDS........NORTH AROUND 2 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST IN THE AFTERNOON. DISPERSION INDEX....10 INCREASING TO 25 IN THE AFTERNOON. LVORI...............3. TIME (EST) 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM 6 PM SKY (%).........10 10 10 10 25 34 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE 12 HR CHC PCPN. 10 10 10 10 10 20 6 HR CHC PCPN. 10 10 10 10 10 20 TEMP............49 62 70 72 71 68 RH..............99 51 34 32 38 52 20 FT WIND......N 2 E 3 S 4 S 4 SE 4 SE 4 20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 10 10 10 10 EYE LEVEL WIND..N 2 E 3 S 4 S 4 SE 4 SE 4 EYE LVL WIND G..5 5 10 10 10 10 MIX HGT (FT)....1600 2400 3000 3000 2700 2700 MIXNG WIND......N 2 E 5 S 7 S 7 SE 7 SE 7 DISP IDX (LDSI).5 14 26 26 23 23 LVORI...........4 2 2 2 2 3 LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 52. MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT. DEWPOINT............53. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT...THEN BECOMING SOUTH AROUND 7 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING. WIND (EYE LEVEL)....SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT...THEN BECOMING SOUTH AROUND 7 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING. POP (12 HR).................20 PERCENT. POP (12 HR).................20 PERCENT. LAL.................1. MIXING HEIGHT.......500-1600 FT AGL. MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 7 TO 12 MPH. DISPERSION INDEX....7. LVORI...............6. .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING...THEN CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 76. MIN HUMIDITY........59 PERCENT. DEWPOINT............62. WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 9 TO 17 MPH. WIND (EYE LEVEL)....WEST WINDS 9 TO 17 MPH. POP (12 HR).................70 PERCENT. POP (12 HR).................70 PERCENT. LAL.................3 UNTIL 1300...THEN 2 UNTIL 1800...THEN 1. MIXING HEIGHT.......1500-2200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3000-3500 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 17 TO 24 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 26 TO 29 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. DISPERSION INDEX....28 INCREASING TO 49 LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 74 EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO 63 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. LVORI...............3. $$ FORECASTER...BRABANDER REQUESTED BY...CONAN DONNELLY TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED