FNUS75 KBOU 030002 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR DEER MOUNTAIN PILES...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 500 PM MST TUE MAR 2 2010 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT WILL MOVE EAST INTO THE CENTRAL PLAINS ON WEDNESDAY AS A WEAK SYSTEM MOVES INTO WESTERN COLORADO LATE IN THE DAY. THE WINDS ALOFT WILL BE SHIFTING SOUTHWEST ON WEDNESDAY WITH VARYING AMOUNTS OF MIDDLE AND HIGH LEVEL MOISTURE. DESPITE THE WEAK WINDS ALOFT...THERE WILL BE ENOUGH INSTABILITY IN THE ATMOSPHERE TO RESULT IN IMPROVING SMOKE DISPERSAL DURING LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(35-45%). MIN TEMPERATURE.....21. MAX HUMIDITY........58%. WIND (20 FT)........WEST 5-9 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 5-12 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......2000-3000 FT AGL UNTIL 2100...THEN 400-1400 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .WEDNESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(50-60%). MAX TEMPERATURE.....44. MIN HUMIDITY........20-25%. WIND (20 FT)........WEST 4-8 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 8-16 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1400-2400 FT AGL UNTIL 1000...THEN 5400-6400 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1000...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1100...THEN GOOD. HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(35-45%). MIN TEMPERATURE.....21. MAX HUMIDITY........98%. WIND (20 FT)........WEST 5-11 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 9-16 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......4800-5400 FT AGL UNTIL 2100. 400-1400 FT AGL AFTER 2300. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD UNTIL 2100. POOR AFTER 2200. HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(40-50%) UNTIL 1200...THEN MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW AFTER 1700. MAX TEMPERATURE.....42. MIN HUMIDITY........46%. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH 5-9 MPH UNTIL 1500...THEN SOUTHEAST 6-10 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 12-20 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......4800-5800 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0800. GOOD AFTER 1000. HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW UNTIL 0600...THEN CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS UNTIL 1800. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S. WEST WINDS AROUND 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 45 MPH. .SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AFTER 1800. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS AROUND 40. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .MONDAY...CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS UNTIL 0600...THEN CHANCE OF SNOW UNTIL 1800...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS AROUND 18. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. EXPERIMENTAL FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR DEER MOUNTAIN PILES. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE DIGITAL DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY NOT AGREE WITH INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. INFORMATION CONTAINED IN THIS TABLE SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AN OFFICIAL FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP TF RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 03/02-16 33 0 42 29 SW 3 1 4113 W 8 28326 P 03/02-17 18 0 39 32 SW 2 2 4 1 N 8 3737 W 7 21867 P 03/02-18 18 0 37 34 SW 3 1 3122 W 7 19424 P 03/02-19 18 0 34 38 W 5 1 2508 W 8 16982 P 03/02-20 18 0 31 41 W 7 7 4 1 NW 3 1893 W 9 14539 P 03/02-21 34 0 29 45 W 7 1 1482 W 9 11385 P 03/02-22 34 0 27 47 W 7 1 1072 W 9 8230 P 03/02-23 34 0 26 49 W 7 7 5 1 S 9 661 W 9 5076 P 03/03-00 34 0 24 52 W 7 1 531 W 9 4063 P 03/03-01 57 0 24 53 W 7 1 401 W 9 3050 P 03/03-02 57 0 23 54 W 7 7 5 1 S17 272 W 8 2038 P 03/03-03 57 0 22 54 W 7 1 278 W 9 2115 P 03/03-04 57 0 22 53 W 7 1 283 W 9 2191 P 03/03-05 56 0 23 51 W 7 7 3 1 S21 289 W 9 2268 P 03/03-06 56 0 23 58 W 7 1 735 W 9 6029 P 03/03-07 56 0 25 54 W 6 1 1180 W 9 9790 P 03/03-08 56 0 28 49 W 6 6 2 1 S18 1625 W 9 13550 P 03/03-09 56 0 31 44 W 6 1 2824 W 12 33965 P 03/03-10 56 0 35 40 W 6 1 4023 W 14 54380 F 03/03-11 55 0 38 36 W 6 6 2 1 S21 5222 W 16 74795 G 03/03-12 55 0 40 34 W 6 1 5676 W 16 80657 G 03/03-13 55 0 42 32 W 6 1 6131 SW 16 86520 G 03/03-14 55 0 42 32 W 6 6 2 1 SW23 6585 SW 16 92382 G 03/03-15 55 0 42 33 W 6 1 6309 SW 16 90525 G 03/03-16 55 0 41 36 SW 5 1 6033 W 17 88667 G 03/03-17 37 0 38 46 SW 6 6 2 1 SW21 5827 SW 13 66138 G 03/03-18 37 0 36 50 SW 6 1 5499 SW 14 63641 G 03/03-19 37 0 33 56 SW 7 1 5171 SW 14 61144 G 03/03-20 37 0 30 63 W 7 7 2 1 W23 4843 W 14 58647 F 03/03-21 37 0 28 69 W 8 1 3682 W 13 43499 F 03/03-22 37 0 26 74 W 8 1 2520 SW 13 28352 P 03/03-23 37 0 25 78 W 8 8 2 1 W20 1358 SW 12 13204 P 03/04-00 37 0 24 84 W 8 1 1052 SW 10 10088 P 03/04-01 37 0 23 88 W 9 1 746 SW 10 6971 P 03/04-02 39 0 22 93 W 9 9 2 1 W23 440 W 10 3855 P 03/04-03 39 0 22 96 W 9 1 433 W 10 3809 P 03/04-04 39 0 22 98 W 9 1 425 W 10 3762 P 03/04-05 39 0 22 93 W 9 9 2 1 W25 418 W 10 3716 P 03/04-06 39 0 23 92 W 8 1 1200 W 13 16159 P 03/04-07 39 0 24 87 SW 7 1 1982 W 15 28603 P 03/04-08 54 0 27 77 SW 6 6 2 1 W16 2763 W 17 41046 F 03/04-09 54 0 30 67 SW 6 1 3527 W 17 55519 F 03/04-10 54 0 34 59 S 5 1 4291 W 18 69992 G 03/04-11 64 0 36 53 S 5 5 2 1 SW17 5055 W 20 84465 G 03/04-12 64 0 39 49 S 6 1 5387 SW 20 90544 G 03/04-13 64 0 40 47 S 6 1 5720 SW 20 96623 G 03/04-14 64 0 41 46 SE 7 7 2 1 SW24 6053 SW 20 102701 V 03/04-15 64 0 41 46 SE 7 1 5827 SW 17 90731 G 03/04-16 64 0 40 49 SE 8 1 5602 SW 16 78761 G 03/04-17 73 10 38 52 E 8 8 2 1 SW31 5376 S 14 66791 G 03/04-18 73 10 36 55 E 9 1 4927 S 15 61949 G 03/04-19 73 10 34 59 NE 9 1 4477 S 15 57106 F 03/04-20 73 10 32 64 N 10 10 2 1 SW36 4028 S 15 52263 F 03/04-21 73 10 30 68 N 10 1 3131 S 13 38356 P 03/04-22 73 10 29 70 NW 12 1 2235 S 12 24450 P 03/04-23 91 41 28 72 W 12 12 2 1 SW44 1338 S 9 10543 P 03/05-00 91 41 27 75 W 8 1 1036 S 9 8335 P 03/05-01 91 41 27 75 W 6 1 734 SW 10 6127 P 03/05-02 91 41 26 77 SW 6 6 2 1 SW51 431 SW 10 3919 P 03/05-03 91 41 26 77 W 13 1 708 SW 16 12631 P 03/05-04 91 41 26 77 W 21 1 985 SW 22 21343 P 03/05-05 90 45 26 72 W 29 46 2 1 SW53 1262 SW 28 30055 P 03/05-06 90 45 26 71 W 29 1 2612 SW 29 68347 G 03/05-07 90 45 27 69 W 28 1 3961 SW 30 106640 V 03/05-08 90 45 28 65 W 24 39 2 1 SW38 5311 SW 31 144932 V 03/05-09 90 45 30 60 W 21 1 6467 W 35 196708 E 03/05-10 90 45 32 56 W 17 1 7624 W 37 248483 E 03/05-11 70 45 34 53 W 16 25 2 1 W45 8780 W 39 300258 E 03/05-12 70 45 35 51 W 16 1 8503 W 39 285281 E 03/05-13 70 45 36 49 W 16 1 8227 W 38 270304 E 03/05-14 70 45 36 49 W 16 25 2 1 W45 7950 W 37 255327 E 03/05-15 70 45 36 49 W 16 1 7234 W 38 239095 E 03/05-16 70 45 35 51 W 16 1 6519 W 39 222864 E 03/05-17 45 0 33 52 W 15 24 2 1 W53 5803 W 41 206633 E KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION /PERCENT/ TF - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E - EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...WFO BOULDER/ENTREKIN REQUESTED BY...ROMO DISPATCH REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20100303.DEERM.01/BOU