FNUS75 KGJT 030519
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR WEST VAIL PILES...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
1019 PM MST TUE MAR 2 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 MST ON MARCH 03.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A WEAK DISTURBANCE WILL MOVE NORTHEAST ACROSS THE BURN AREA
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON BUT WILL BRING ONLY SOME CLOUDS. IT SHOULD
HELP WITH SOME INSTABILITY FOR FAIR OR BETTER SMOKE DISPERSION
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. A STRONGER STORM APPROACHES LATE THURSDAY. WARMING
ALOFT AHEAD OF THIS STORM WILL LIMIT LOFT AND SMOKE DISPERSION ON
THURSDAY.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60%).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....36-40 F.
WIND (20 FT)........DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 3-5 MPH UNTIL 1100...THEN SHIFTING TO THE WEST IN THE AFTE
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (12600-13500 KNOT-FT) UNTIL 1200...THEN FAIR INCREASING TO GOOD BY 1500.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000-1400 FT AGL BY 1200...THEN INCREASING TO 5200 FT AGL IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 3-5 MPH UNTIL 1100...THEN BECOMING SOUTHWEST 14 MPH.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60%) UNTIL1200...THEN BECOMING MOSTLY
                    CLOUDY (80%). ISOLATED SHOWERS IN THE
                    MORNING...THEN SCATTERED SHOWERS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....36-41 F.
WIND (20 FT)........DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 5 MPH UNTIL 1000...THEN SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 5-10 MPH
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (10800-22900 KNOT-FT).
MIXING HEIGHT.......1700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 5 MPH UNTIL 1000...THEN BECOMING SOUTHWEST 14 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...JIM DANIELS
REQUESTED BY...ROB MACDONALD
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20100303.WESTV.01/GJT