FNUS73 KEAX 041140 FWSEAX SPOT FORECAST FOR BOW PRAIRIES...MDC NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO 540 AM CST THU MAR 4 2010 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1130 CST ON MARCH 04. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... ...UPDATED WITH LATEST FORECAST TRENDS... LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS THIS MORNING WILL TEND TO FLOW TOWARDS THE HIGHER TERRAIN TO THE SOUTH OF THE BURN LOCATION INITIALLY. AROUND IGNITION TIME WITH FULL SUNSHINE AND AMPLE HEATING...THE PREDOMINATE NEAR SURFACE WINDS WILL COME OUT OF THE SOUTHEAST...YET WILL REMAIN QUITE LIGHT. AN EVENTUAL TURN TO A MORE EASTERLY COMPONENT WILL OCCUR THROUGH THE AFTERNOON HOURS. RELATIVE HUMIDITIES FALLING TO THE 30-40 PERCENT RANGE AND MIXING HEIGHTS INCREASING RAPIDLY ABOVE 1500 FT AGL SHOULD PROVIDE VERY FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR SAFE BURNING TODAY. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-10 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 51. MIN HUMIDITY........33 PERCENT. CWR.................0 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS THIS MORNING BECOMING SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH BY EARLY AFTERNOON...THEN EAST AROUND 5 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......AROUND 1200 FT AGL AT IGNITION TIME INCREASING TO AROUND 3700 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 3 TO 5 MPH AT IGNITION TIME SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (CST) 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........5 5 5 5 6 7 7 WEATHER COV.....NONE WEATHER TYPE....NONE TEMP............41 44 47 49 50 50 48 RH..............47 43 39 37 35 36 44 20 FT WIND DIR..NE SE SE SE E E E 20 FT WIND SPD..1 2 3 3 4 5 5 20 FT WIND GUST. HAINES INDEX....4 3 3 3 4 4 4 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (10-25 PERCENT). MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 29. MAX HUMIDITY........84 PERCENT. CWR.................0 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1000 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 8 TO 14 MPH. TIME (CST) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........10 12 14 15 19 23 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............44 38 34 33 32 30 RH..............47 59 71 75 79 81 20 FT WIND......E 5 E 7 E 6 E 7 E 7 E 7 20 FT WIND GUST. HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 3 3 3 .FRIDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-45 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 54. MIN HUMIDITY........37 PERCENT. CWR.................0 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 7 TO 14 MPH. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2600-3300 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 11 TO 18 MPH. TIME (CST) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........25 29 34 40 42 45 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............30 34 42 49 53 53 RH..............81 75 57 51 43 40 20 FT WIND......E 7 E 8 SE 9 SE 11 SE 12 E 12 20 FT WIND GUST. 12 15 16 15 HAINES INDEX....3 3 3 4 4 3 $$ FORECASTER...OMALLEY REQUESTED BY...RYAN DAWSON TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20100304.BOWPR.01/EAX