FNUS74 KOUN 041321
FWSOUN

SPOT FORECAST FOR BLACK KETTLE UNIT 58...FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
721 AM CST THU MAR 4 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0830 CST ON MARCH 04.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
AN UPPER-LEVEL STORM SYSTEM OVER THE INTER-MOUNTAIN REGION... WILL MOVE
EAST ACROSS THE CENTRAL ROCKIES TODAY AND TONIGHT.  THIS WILL BRING AND
INCREASE IN SOUTHERLY WINDS AND HUMIDITY.  DEPENDING ON THE EXACT TIMING
OF THE STORM SYSTEM EARLY NEXT WEEK... PARTS OF OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN NORTH
TEXAS... MAINLY THE WESTERN PARTS... MAY SEE HIGHLY ELEVATED RISKS OF
WILDFIRES ON MONDAY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....42 AT IGNITION...MAX 60.
MIN HUMIDITY........73 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 41 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTH AT 10 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
                    SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 15 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1100 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 100-2000 FT
                    AGL INCREASING TO 2400-4000 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 7 TO 16 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 15
                    TO 23 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.

TIME (CST)      8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM   6 PM
SKY (%).........CLEAR  CLEAR  MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............40     45     52     57     59     58
RH..............73     62     50     43     42     45
20 FT WIND......SE 10  S 13   S 13   S 14   S 14   S 15
20 FT WIND GUST.15     20     20     20     20     25
MIX HGT (FT)....800    1500   2400   3500   4000   3500
MIX HGT (M).....240    460    730    1070   1220   1070
TRANSPORT WIND..SE 16  S 18   S 15   S 17   S 21   S 23
TRAN WIND (M/S).SE 7   S 8    S 7    S 8    S 9    S 10

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (10-20 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....MIN 41.
MAX HUMIDITY........MAX 70 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH
                    UNTIL EARLY MORNING.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 60.
MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 53 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 18 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND
                    30 MPH INCREASING TO 20 TO 21 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
                    AROUND 35 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.

$$
FORECASTER...THOREN
REQUESTED BY...BRYAN HAJNY
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20100304.BLACK.01/OUN