FNUS73 KJKL 042209
FWSJKL

SPOT FORECAST FOR HORSE LICK...USDA FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
509 PM EST THU MAR 4 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 EST ON MARCH 05.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO THE REGION
TO START THE WEEKEND...BEFORE SHIFTING SOUTHEAST OF THE AREA ON
SUNDAY. THIS HIGH WILL BRING A WARMER AND DRIER AIRMASS TO THE BURN
AREA...WITH DRY WEATHER THROUGH THE WEEKEND. IN FACT...THE RELATIVE
HUMIDITY MAY FALL TO NEAR 30 PERCENT ON FRIDAY. WITH THE RIDGE
BUILDING IN...TRANSPORT WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BE ON THE LIGHTER
SIDE BY THE WEEKEND.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 21.
MAX HUMIDITY........92 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH 1-3 MPH.
SURROUNDING RIDGE...NORTH 5 MPH.
 UPR SLP/RIDGETOP...NORTH 5 MPH.
POP.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

TIME (EST)      7 PM   9 PM   11 PM  1 AM   3 AM   5 AM
SKY (%).........7      8      9      10     10     11
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............37     32     29     27     24     23
RH..............54     62     70     80     83     86
20 FT WIND......N 2    N 2    N 2    N 1    N 1    N 0
20 FT WIND GUST.5      5      5
HAINES INDEX....4      4      4      4      4      4

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 49.
MIN HUMIDITY........28 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH 1 TO 3 MPH...BECOMING NORTH 4 TO 6 MPH
                    AROUND 1000...THEN BECOMING NORTH 6 TO 8 MPH
                    AROUND 1300.
SURROUNDING RIDGE...NORTH 3 TO 5 MPH INCREASING TO 7 TO 10 MPH AROUND
                    1000.
 UPR SLP/RIDGETOP...NORTH 3 TO 5 MPH INCREASING TO 7 TO 10 MPH AROUND
                    1000.
POP.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........2 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL TO LOW POTENTIAL
                    FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 10 TO 15 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....62.

TIME (EST)      7 AM   9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
SKY (%).........11     12     12     12     11     9
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............23     29     38     44     48     46
RH..............88     76     49     36     30     32
20 FT WIND......NW 1   N 3    N 5    N 7    N 7    N 3
20 FT WIND GUST.       5      10     10     10     5
HAINES INDEX....4      4      4      2      2      2

$$
FORECASTER...PELTON
REQUESTED BY...ROBIN ACCIARDO
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20100305.HORSE.01/JKL