FNUS73 KJKL 051047
FWSJKL

SPOT FORECAST FOR HORSE LICK...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
547 AM EST FRI MAR 5 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 EST ON MARCH 05.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

HIGH PRESSURE AT THE SURFACE...AND ALOFT...ALONG WITH DRY AIR AT THE
SURFACE WILL CREATE NEAR CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS THROUGH
SATURDAY AFTERNOON. AFTERNOON RHS WILL BE DROP DROPPING INTO THE
20S. DUE TO FEW CLOUDS AND STRONG HEATING...THE MIXING HEIGHTS
WILL BE VERY FAVORABLE...HOWEVER THERE WILL BE A INVERSION AT THE TOP
OF THE MIXED LAYER...SO SMOKE WILL TEND TO BE TRAPPED AT THE TOP OF
THE MIXED LAYER. THE INVERSION WILL BE EVEN STRONGER ON SATURDAY AS
THE SUBSIDENCE FROM THE HIGH BECOMES EVEN STRONGER.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 47.
MIN HUMIDITY........25 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTH 5 TO 6 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
SURROUNDING RIDGE...NORTH 5 TO 10 MPH.
 UPR SLP/RIDGETOP...NORTH 5 TO 10 MPH.
POP.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR
                    LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AT 5 TO 10 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....54.

TIME (EST)      11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
SKY (%).........12     12     11     9
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............36     42     45     44
RH..............43     31     28     28
20 FT WIND......N 5    N 6    N 6    N 5
20 FT WIND GUST.       10     10
HAINES INDEX....4      3      3      3

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 23.
MAX HUMIDITY........84 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.
SURROUNDING RIDGE...NORTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH.
 UPR SLP/RIDGETOP...NORTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH.
POP.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR
                    LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

TIME (EST)      7 PM   9 PM   11 PM  1 AM   3 AM   5 AM
SKY (%).........8      8      7      7      6      6
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............39     34     31     29     27     26
RH..............42     57     69     76     82     82
20 FT WIND......N 3    N 3    NE 2   N 3    NE 3   NE 2
20 FT WIND GUST.5      5      5      5      5      5
HAINES INDEX....3      3      3      4      4      4

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 52.
MIN HUMIDITY........26 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTH 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON...THEN BECOMING LIGHT IN THE EVENING.
SURROUNDING RIDGE...NORTH 5 TO 10 MPH.
 UPR SLP/RIDGETOP...NORTH 5 TO 10 MPH.
POP.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 8 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....32.

TIME (EST)      7 AM   9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
SKY (%).........5      6      8      9      8      6
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............25     31     40     46     50     49
RH..............80     67     49     30     26     29
20 FT WIND......NE 2   NE 2   N 3    N 5    N 5    N 5
20 FT WIND GUST.5      5      5
HAINES INDEX....4      4      4      4      4      4

$$
FORECASTER...JACOBSON
REQUESTED BY...ROBIN ACCIARDO
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20100305.HORSE.01/JKL