FNUS73 KPAH 051515 FWSPAH SPOT FORECAST FOR GAMMA...USFWS CRAB ORCHARD NWR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY 915 AM CST FRI MAR 5 2010 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 CST ON MARCH 05. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... THE CONCERNS TODAY AND SATURDAY WILL BE VERY DRY AIR WITH GOOD MIXING EXPECTED...AND A GENERAL LACK OF WIND...AS SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE SETTLES RIGHT OVER THE QUAD STATE REGION. A WEAKENING STORM SYSTEM APPROACHING THE AREA FROM THE NORTHWEST WILL PUSH THE SURFACE HIGH TO OUR SOUTHEAST SUNDAY...ALLOWING FOR SOUTHERLY WINDS TO DEVELOP. HOWEVER...IT WILL ALSO BRING INCREASED CLOUD COVER AND A SMALL CHANCE OF RAIN...ESPECIALLY IN THE NORTHERN HALF OF THE AREA. A PERIOD OF UNSETTLED WEATHER WILL BRING DAILY CHANCES OF RAIN TO THE REGION EACH DAY NEXT WEEK. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-5 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........43 AT IGNITION...MAX 54. MIN HUMIDITY........50 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 19 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WINDS NORTHEAST AT 4 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE NORTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH... THEN BECOMING LIGHT LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 5. MIXING HEIGHT.......1500-2600 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3000 FT AGL AT IGNITION...THEN 4600-5500 FT AGL EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 2 TO 7 MPH. TIME (CST) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............43 46 49 51 53 54 52 50 RH..............50 41 34 29 24 22 27 32 20 FT WIND DIR..NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE 20 FT WIND SPD..3 3 4 4 4 3 3 2 20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 MIX HGT (KFT)...3.0 3.5 4.1 4.7 5.1 5.3 5.2 5.0 TRANSP WIND DIR.E NE NE NE NE NE NE NE TRANSP WIND SPD.2 3 6 7 8 8 8 8 CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR (0-5 PERCENT). MIN TEMPERATURE.....26. MAX HUMIDITY........75 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......4500-5600 FT AGL DECREASING TO 900-1200 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 3 TO 8 MPH. TIME (CST) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........CLEAR CLEAR CLEAR CLEAR CLEAR CLEAR WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............46 40 36 34 31 29 RH..............39 48 53 57 62 67 20 FT WIND......E 2 E 2 E 2 E 2 E 2 E 1 20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 MIX HGT (FT)....4700 4200 2600 1200 1000 900 TRANSPORT WIND..NE 8 NE 5 NE 3 E 5 E 6 E 6 CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....5 5 5 5 5 5 .SATURDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-5 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....56. MIN HUMIDITY........21 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1000-1900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4700-5500 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 3 TO 9 MPH. TIME (CST) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM SKY (%).........CLEAR CLEAR CLEAR CLEAR WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............28 38 50 56 RH..............75 57 37 26 20 FT WIND......E 1 E 2 SE 2G5 SE 3G5 MIX HGT (FT)....1000 1900 4500 4700 TRANSPORT WIND..E 5 E 9 NE 7 NE 6 CWR.............0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....5 5 5 5 $$ FORECASTER...PRESLEY REQUESTED BY...RAYMOND J PARRISH TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20100305.GAMMA.01/PAH