FNUS73 KPAH 051640 FWSPAH SPOT FORECAST FOR GAMMA...USFWS CRAB ORCHARD NWR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY 1040 AM CST FRI MAR 5 2010 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 CST ON MARCH 05. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... THE CONCERNS TODAY AND SATURDAY WILL BE VERY DRY AIR WITH GOOD MIXING EXPECTED...AND A GENERAL LACK OF WIND...AS SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE SETTLES RIGHT OVER THE QUAD STATE REGION. A WEAKENING STORM SYSTEM APPROACHING THE AREA FROM THE NORTHWEST WILL PUSH THE SURFACE HIGH TO OUR SOUTHEAST SUNDAY...ALLOWING FOR SOUTHERLY WINDS TO DEVELOP. HOWEVER...IT WILL ALSO BRING INCREASED CLOUD COVER AND A SMALL CHANCE OF RAIN...ESPECIALLY IN THE NORTHERN HALF OF THE AREA. A PERIOD OF UNSETTLED WEATHER WILL BRING DAILY CHANCES OF RAIN TO THE REGION EACH DAY NEXT WEEK. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-5 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........51 AT IGNITION...MAX 55. MIN HUMIDITY........30 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 19 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WINDS NORTHEAST 3 TO 5 MPH AT IGNITION AND THROUGH THE AFTERNOON...THEN BECOMING LIGHT LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 5. MIXING HEIGHT.......3000-4000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4500 FT AGL AT IGNITION...THEN 4600-5500 FT AGL DURING THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 2 TO 7 MPH. TIME (CST) 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............51 52 53 54 52 50 RH..............30 26 23 21 25 30 20 FT WIND DIR..NE NE NE NE NE NE 20 FT WIND SPD..4 4 4 3 3 2 20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 6 5 5 5 MIX HGT (KFT)...4.5 5.1 5.3 5.5 5.2 4.6 TRANSP WIND DIR.NE NE NE NE NE NE TRANSP WIND SPD.6 7 8 8 8 8 CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....5 5 5 5 5 5 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR (0-5 PERCENT). MIN TEMPERATURE.....26. MAX HUMIDITY........75 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......2000-3800 FT AGL DECREASING TO 0-1400 FT AGL IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 3 TO 8 MPH. TIME (CST) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........CLEAR CLEAR CLEAR CLEAR CLEAR CLEAR WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............46 40 36 34 31 29 RH..............39 48 53 57 62 67 20 FT WIND......E 2 E 2 E 2 E 2 E 2 E 1 20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 MIX HGT (FT)....3800 2600 1400 600 100 BLW100 TRANSPORT WIND..NE 8 NE 5 NE 3 E 5 E 6 E 6 CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....5 5 5 5 5 5 .SATURDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-5 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....56. MIN HUMIDITY........21 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......400-2000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3700-5500 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 3 TO 9 MPH. TIME (CST) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM SKY (%).........CLEAR CLEAR CLEAR CLEAR WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............28 38 50 56 RH..............75 57 37 26 20 FT WIND......E 1 E 2 SE 2G5 SE 3G5 MIX HGT (FT)....400 2000 5200 5000 TRANSPORT WIND..E 5 E 9 NE 7 NE 6 CWR.............0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....5 5 5 5 $$ FORECASTER...PRESLEY REQUESTED BY...RAYMOND J PARRISH TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20100305.GAMMA.02/PAH