FNUS75 KGJT 061803
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR PACK CREEK...MANTI-LA SAL NATIONAL FOREST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
1103 AM MST SAT MAR 6 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 MST ON MARCH 07.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A PACIFIC STORM WILL BRING PRECIPITATION...WIND AND
FAVORABLE MIXING TO THE FIRE SITE SUNDAY. WINDS WILL INCREASE FROM
THE SOUTH DURING THE MORNING...ENHANCED BY SHOWERS AT TIMES. THE
STORM WILL MOVE WELL SOUTH OF THE FIRE SITE SUNDAY NIGHT WITH FLOW
BACKING TO THE NORTHWEST ON MONDAY. INSTABILITY IN THE WAKE OF THE
STORM COMBINED WITH DECENT TRANSPORT SHOULD BRING A PERIOD OF
ACCEPTABLE MIXING IN THE MIDDLE OF THE AFTERNOON MONDAY.


.TODAY (SUNDAY)...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100%). NUMEROUS SHOWERS...MAINLY OVER
                    HIGHER TERRAIN TO THE EAST.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....40-44 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........58-63%.
WIND (20 FT)........DOWNSLOPE 3 TO 5 MPH THROUGH 1000...THEN BECOMING
                    SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS TO 15 MPH
                    BY 1300.
CLEARING INDEX......150 INCREASING TO 600 BY 1200. EXPECT HIGHER
                    AMOUNTS DURING SHOWERS.


.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (80-90%). NUMEROUS SHOWERS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....24-29 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........75-80%.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
CLEARING INDEX......550 DECREASING TO 50 BY 2200.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 12 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 5
                    MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.

.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80%). ISOLATED SHOWERS IN THE
                    MORNING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....39-43 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........49-54%.
WIND (20 FT)........DOWNSLOPE 3 TO 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST
                    4 TO 7 MPH BY 1300.
CLEARING INDEX......50 INCREASING TO 500 FROM 1300 TO 1600 DURING
                    THE AFTERNOON.

$$

FORECASTER...NORV LARSON
REQUESTED BY...MAX FORGENSI
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20100307.PACKC.01/GJT