FNUS73 KTOP 071615
FWSTOP

SPOT FORECAST FOR P734...BIA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
1015 AM CST SUN MAR 7 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 CST ON MARCH 07.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

STRATUS CLOUD DECK WILL BE OVERTAKING THE BURN SITE BY IGNITION TIME
BUT MAY ERODE BY EARLY AFTERNOON. CLOUD EROSION WOULD RESULT IN
DEEPER MIXING AND SLIGHTLY BETTER SMOKE DISPERSION BUT THERE IS
UNCERTAINTY IN EXACT TIME OF CLOUD EROSION. RH LEVELS WILL ALSO
BE LOWER UNDER THE CLOUD DECK...AND WHILE SUNSHINE MAY QUICKLY REDUCE
RH VALUES...RH WOULD STILL NOT BE EXPECTED TO FALL BELOW 45 PERCENT.
WINDS WILL BE LIGHT OUT OF THE NORTHEAST INITIALLY...GRADUALLY TURNING
OUT OF THE NORTH LATE TODAY AND OUT OF THE EAST BY MONDAY MORNING. WINDS
WILL INCREASE AND BE GUSTY BY MID DAY MONDAY WITH RAIN BECOMING LIKELY
BY LATE ON MONDAY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY.
                    TEMPERATURE.........44 AT IGNITION...MAX 52.
                    MIN HUMIDITY........74 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 64.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS NORTHWEST AT 7 MPH AT
                    IGNITION...OTHERWISE NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5
                    MPH INCREASING TO 5 TO 7 MPH IN THE LATE
                    MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON...THEN BECOMING
                    LIGHT TOWARD EVENING.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW AT IGNITION...MAX 4.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR /12000 KNOT-FT/ AT IGNITION.MAX...POOR
                    /12800 KNOT-FT/.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY.
                    CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS EARLY IN THE MORNING.
                    CHANCE OF SHOWERS 30 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....40.
MAX HUMIDITY........90 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........MAX 4.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....MIN...POOR /9100 KNOT-FT/.

.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. RAIN SHOWERS
                    LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF SHOWERS 80
                    PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....53.
MIN HUMIDITY........73 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 12 TO 17 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........MAX 3.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....MAX...EXCELLENT /72100 KNOT-FT/.

$$
FORECASTER...BARJENBRUCH
REQUESTED BY...ADAM ROGERS
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20100307.P734_.01/TOP