FNUS72 KJAX 081147
FWSJAX

SPOT FORECAST FOR THIRD...DOF
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
647 AM EST MON MAR 8 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 EST ON MARCH 08.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 7 PM EST
THIS EVENING...

.DISCUSSION...SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED OVER THE AREA
TODAY WILL GRADUALLY SHIFT EAST THROUGH TUESDAY. DRY CONDITIONS
WILL PERSIST TODAY AS A GRADUAL WARMING TREND CONTINUES. RELATIVE
HUMIDITIES WILL FALL BELOW CRITICAL VALUES FOR EXTENDED DURATIONS
TODAY. A LIGHT WEST TO NORTHWEST WIND WILL PREVAIL AT THE PRESCRIBED
BURN SITE WITH A POSSIBLE SEA BREEZE MOVING NEAR OR OVER THE SITE
AROUND 5-6 PM.

LOW LEVEL MOISTURE WILL RETURN TO THE AREA ON SOUTHERLY FLOW ON
TUESDAY ALTHOUGH RH VALUES MAY STILL DROP INTO THE LOWER TO MID 30S
OVER PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST FLORIDA.

ON WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY...MOISTURE LEVELS WILL INCREASE WITH
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 71.
MIN HUMIDITY........20 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST 5 TO 7 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5300-5500 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........WEST AROUND 2 MPH INCREASING TO 5 TO 9 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....48.

TIME (EST)      10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........12     10     10     5
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............58     66     70     69
RH..............45     27     22     23
20 FT WIND......NW 3   WNW 5  W 5    W 7
20 FT WIND GUST.5      10     10
MIX HGT (FT)....2900   3200   5300   5500
TRANSPORT WIND..NW 9   NW 9   NW 8   W 5
LAL.............1      1      1      1

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (5-15 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 40.
MAX HUMIDITY........86 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5500 FT AGL DECREASING TO 200-1000 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 1 TO 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH
                    AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING.
DISPERSION INDEX....1.
LVORI...............4.

TIME (EST)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........12     16     16     16     20     22
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............63     55     51     48     45     44
RH..............36     55     65     70     75     79
20 FT WIND......S 3    S 0    S 0    NW 0   N 0    N 0
20 FT WIND GUST.5                                  5
MIX HGT (FT)....5500   1000   600    600    200    300
TRANSPORT WIND..W 5    SW 2   SW 1   SW 1   SW 2   S 5
LVORI...........4      4      4      4      4      4

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 71.
MIN HUMIDITY........36 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST 6 TO 8 MPH IN
                    THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4400 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 7
                    TO 13 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....48.

$$
FORECASTER...SHASHY
REQUESTED BY...BARRY COULLIETTE
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20100308.THIRD.01/JAX